Coronavirus has completely encapsulated every facet of our lives and American society. Therefore, I became curious and started looking up some stats on projected death rates.
In the worst-case scenario, the administration is telling us it would be approximately 2.2 million deaths if we did nothing. As a nation of approximately 330 million people, that would mean the death toll would be 0.67% of our population.
Our response to this projection? We have slammed the brakes on our economy and way of life. The results?
Since they underestimated the last unemployment numbers and an entire month of harsher shutdowns awaits us, I suspect the unemployment rate to be higher, possibly around 40%, if not higher.
Tens of thousands of small businesses will collapse, but most large corporations will remain. People’s jobs, life savings, retirement accounts, and home values will be decimated. These measures will surely sweep in more socialism to hypothetically save approximately 2 million lives, because if we take these drastic measures, we may only lose about 100,000 to 240,000 Americans.
So is 2.2 million deaths a certainty? No, 2.2 million is based on a model taken from Neil Ferguson from Imperial College which originally estimated 500,000 deaths in the UK, which was later revised to 20,000.
So even our estimate of 2.2 million is highly questionable. Even Stanford professor John Ioannidis states that data indicates we’re severely overreacting to the Coronavirus, and he’s not the only one (see video below).
So we will add trillions of dollars to the debt, vastly devalue our currency, and weaken the nation as a whole for a questionable hypothetical? Because, you know, government bureaucrats have never been wrong.
I’m no callous to these numbers. Every life is precious, but we have to ask this question, are the American people and the world better off with a weaken America or strong America?
The answer is self-evident.
I wonder if any of these experts that are advocating a shutdown would say if fighting the Civil War was worth the cost? I’m positive they would all say yes, as I do.
If we take soldier deaths, not including civilians deaths, the Civil War resulted in approximately 620,000 lives. Our population in the 1850’s census was 23,191,876. That means the death rate was 2.7% of the American population or roughly four times higher than the highly skeptical worst-case estimates of 2.2 million deaths from COVID-19.
Yet we still fought, as Americans have always fought. We have always counted the costs and risen to face the challenges that try men’s souls.
We have never backed down from the difficult questions or the task at hand.
Therefore, I’m wondering when we will start acting like Americans and do that which made us the greatest country on the face of the earth and stop being control by fear and start asking the hard question?
How long can we go before we can’t rebound from this, and the great American experiment ends?
What measured approaches can we take to protect American lives while not suiciding our country at the same time?
I ask these questions because this is not just a viral pandemic that we have to confront but a political reality that our nation’s future is at risk. I ask because I want a debate on what we need to do to save lives and this great republic of ours.
I do not believe the approach we are taking is the best path forward. I’m no expert, and I don’t have all the answers, but we need to be the America we once were and have this hard conversation before the death of America is no longer a hypothetical but a reality.