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Is war with Iran inevitable?

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Is war with Iran inevitable

Following the downing of an American drone, the prospects of war with Iran seem to be increasing every hour. Politicians are scrambling to point fingers, as they’re wont to do. Journalists are busy turning hot takes into news articles. EU nations are trying to figure out how to slow things down. Middle Eastern nations are trying to speed things up.

Are we going to war with Iran? It would seem this latest escalation is the last straw, especially as evidence points to the drone being over international waters as part of a mission to defend our interests crossing through the Strait of Hormuz after last week’s attack on oil tankers. Is there a scenario in which we can avoid war? Should we?

The answer to the second question is yes. We should avoid war if possible. Taking down an unmanned drone is an act of war, but not necessarily a prompt to go to war. Iran is masterful at taking things right to the edge. They act in ways that are intended to provoke actions while still being able to claim they are not the aggressors. Even in the face of clear evidence they attacked the oil tankers last week, they have been able to muster a story of denial that somehow has many in the international community believing them. That’s their superpower. They can take actions to provoke a response while positioning themselves as the victims if a response comes.

This superpower is very dangerous for American interests in the region. It means they’ll keep poking at us until we respond. And unless that poke involves the death of American lives at the indisputable hands of Iran without an potential for it to be spun as our fault, they will be able to convince a good chunk of the world that we’re being the aggressors. In the past, this may not have been too important; following 9/11, we probably could have convinced allies to attack anyone with us. But today, we need the evidence to be irrefutable.

Even then, they’ll refute it and some will listen.

One may wonder why we need international support to take on Iran. Technically, we don’t. Between us, Saudi Arabia, and Israel, we could easily wipe Iran out militarily. But doing so would isolate us geopolitically. If we go in without clearly being the victims of Iran’s provocation, we’ll be the bad guys. This will hurt us on multiple fronts in a changing global landscape in which some are starting to imagine a world without the United States at the center. Ambiguity in the reasoning for a war will prompt our international critics to pounce even if they know we’re in the right.

It has to be Iran’s blatant attack that prompts anything or we should do nothing.

Unfortunately, that’s not how everyone in the White House thinks. President Trump seems to want to avoid war at all costs. It makes sense politically ahead of an election. But even if it were November 4, 2020, and President Trump was coming off a reelection victory, he still wouldn’t want war. He didn’t want the Iraq War back in the days when the vast majority of Americans, including Democrats, supported it. He’s been trying to stave off war with North Korea. He may be a political fighter, but when it comes to actual bloodshed, an argument can be made that he’s less inclined to use military force than his Nobel Peace Prize winning predecessor.

It’s possible the neoconservatives and war hawks in the administration can get their way, but I believe it’s more likely Iran will slip up. So far their actions and alleged actions haven’t taken an American life in recent weeks. But if their provocations do not yield an attack by the United States, they will step them up. When they do, it’s imperative that the United States is able to clearly demonstrate Iran’s direct involvement. Iran must be caught red-handed.

Keep in mind, they want a limited war waged against them. They aren’t looking to be wiped out, but any attacks by the United States would benefit the regime, strengthening their control over a people who are growing increasingly disenfranchised with leaders who squandered economy- and prosperity-building funds on their proxy wars and terrorism. They were handed a wad of money by the Obama administration. Where did it go? Why are the people suffering? Iran can blame sanctions all they want, but the sanctions wouldn’t be collapsing their economy so quickly if they’d invested Obama’s gift towards helping their people instead of funding terrorism.

They need war. A sympathy-driving war would get them international aid. It would help them pressure the United Nations into fighting American sanctions against them. It would galvanize the people against the “Great Satan” of the west. Most importantly, it would prompt other nations to want to buy their oil, hurting not only the United State but also Saudi Arabia and the OPEC nations.

Some say Iran has been backed into a corner. The reality is they went to the corner and now they’re prompting the United States to engage. They’re trying to manufacture a victim card to play on the international stage.

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Democrats

Ilhan Omar compares Israel blocking entry to South African apartheid

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Ilhan Omar compares Israel blocking entry to South African apartheid

Anti-Semitic Congresswoman Ilhan Omar did what she normally does. She played the race card, or more specifically, the Islamophobia card against Israel. To do this, she compared Israel’s blocking of her and Representative Rashida Tlaib to the apartheid blocking of a black Congressman by South Africa 44-years ago.

There are several holes in this narrative. First, her claims that only she and Tlaib were blocked because they are Muslim and the rest of those traveling with them were not blocked is a bald-faced lie that takes advantage of how the block was reported. The news was that the two Congresswomen were blocked, but in reality the trip itself was denied by the Israeli government. That means everyone traveling with them, not just the two Congresswomen, were not allowed entry based on the itinerary they presented to the Israeli government.

Second, this trip, which they claimed was to “Palestine” and included an itinerary that had them exclusively visiting anti-Israel factions, was singled out. None of the potential travelers were blocked from entry, as Israel demonstrated this morning when they allowed Tlaib to enter to see her 90-year-old grandmother in the West Bank. But Tlaib, of course, declined her own request because it was a bluff, a political stunt.

Third, the Representatives’ continued attacks on Israel as well as their support for BDS and Hamas is demonstrably a threat to the nation of Israel. This is unambiguous and has not even been denied by the Congresswomen because they know it to be true. In fact, they’re proud of their opposition to Israel’s right to exist.

If you can find a time when Ilhan Omar isn’t being disingenuous or blatantly lying, it’s only because she isn’t speaking at that moment. Her hatred for Israel and America are clear. She must be voted out in 2020.

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Democrats

Rashida Tlaib tried, failed to use her grandmother to score political points against Israel

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Rashida Tlaib tried failed to use her grandmother to score political points against Israel

This story is getting way more attention than it deserves, but that’s the news cycle when “The Squad” makes moves. Whether it’s Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Ayanna Pressley, Ilhan Omar, or Rashida Tlaib causing a big fuss, legacy media jumps to their defense faster than they did with President Obama. This time, it’s Tlaib who tried to double-down on the news cycle, but Israel called her bluff.

After being blocked from coming to Israel to spread her hateful views against the Jewish state, Tlaib tried to keep the spotlight on Israel by switching tactics and asking for a humanitarian pass so she could visit her ailing 90-year-old grandmother in the West Bank. Her letter was cordial and her request was quickly approved by the Israeli government. But her intention wasn’t to actually visit her grandmother. It was a bluff. She wanted to get rejected again so she could use it as further evidence of Israel’s “racism” and “oppression” against the Palestinian people.

So, she’s not going. She’s spinning it as a political statement against Israel, as she does so natural in nearly all of her actions. But intelligent people who don’t listen like sheep to the legacy media talking heads are realizing how disingenuous her actions have become (and, to be fair, have always been).

As Guy Benson noted:

Tlaib Bumbles Into Revealing Her Undeniable Priority: Bigoted Anti-Israel Propaganda

In response, Israel’s Interior Minister marveled, “I authorized this humanitarian trip, but it turns out that it was a provocation to embarrass Israel. Her hatred for Israel overcomes her love for her grandmother.”  That just about sums it up.  Her primary goal — always — was to embarrass and undermine the world’s lone Jewish state.  Her bigotry supersedes her professed love for her own flesh and blood.  I called Omar and Tlaib “clumsy, deeply unpopular stooges,” suggesting that any agitation in which they’d engage while in Israel would likely backfire and harm their own cause.  Right on cue, Tlaib managed to turn a partial PR victory into a revealing double defeat in less than 24 hours.  Israel is fortunate to have such moronic adversaries and enemies:

This won’t be treated as a loss for or a lie by Tlaib. One of the biggest reasons “The Squad” hasn’t crumbled under the weight of their own hypocrisy is because legacy media gives them cover. But conservatives know the truth. She’s a fraud.

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Foreign Affairs

Israel grants Tlaib West Bank visit on humanitarian grounds

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Israel grants Tlaib West Bank visit on humanitarian grounds

JERUSALEM (AP) — Israel’s interior minister said Friday he has received and granted a request by Democratic Rep. Rashida Tlaib to enter the Israeli-occupied West Bank on humanitarian grounds.

Tlaib, who is of Palestinian origin, asked to visit her 90-year-old grandmother in the West Bank, Minister Aryeh Deri said in a statement.

Deri’s office published what it said was Tlaib’s written request, on congressional stationary. In the letter, Tlaib said she would respect any restrictions and “not promote boycotts” during her visit.

The minister’s decision marked yet another reversal concerning the high-profile West Bank tour that had been planned by Tlaib and fellow Democrat, Rep. Ilhan Omar.

On Thursday, Israel had announced it was barring the two from entry — an unprecedented move targeting members of the U.S. Congress. Israel’s decision came after President Donald Trump said in a tweet it would show “weakness” to allow in the two Democrats who have been sharply critical of him and of Israel’s policies toward the Palestinians.

Tlaib and Omar had planned to visit Jerusalem and several West Bank cities, starting this weekend. Both are known as supporters of “boycott, divestment and sanctions,” or BDS, a Palestinian-led global movement. Israel alleges that BDS targets Israel’s very existence, while the movement’s supporters say it is intended as leverage to end more than half a century of Israeli military rule over Palestinians.

Israel’s decision to ban the two had sparked widespread criticism, including from Israeli and Jewish organization who said it was an affront to U.S. institutions to bar the entry of members of Congress.

Deri said Friday he granted a subsequent request by Tlaib to visit the West Bank on humanitarian grounds. In her letter, Tlaib writes that this could be her last chance to see her grandmother.

Deri’s office said in a statement that he “decided to allow her entry to Israel and hopes she will stand by her commitment and that the visit will be for humanitarian needs only.”

Tlaib’s apparent pledge to conduct the visit in line with restrictions imposed by Israel was bound to anger Palestinians who had hoped the congressional tour would highly their plight.

We are currently forming the American Conservative Movement. If you are interested in learning more, we will be sending out information in a few weeks.

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