A race that should never have been close is finally showing signs of normalcy. Senator Ted Cruz has battled Democrat Beto O’Rourke in one of the most high-profile elections of the midterms and until recently it appeared O’Rourke was close to pulling off a miracle. The latest poll shows otherwise.
The Quinnipiac University poll, regarded highly for its accuracy in state and local elections, has the former Presidential contender up 54-45. In a race that will largely be determined along party lines, the GOP stronghold seems poised to keep itself red in November.
This is the first survey of likely voters in this race by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll, and can not be compared to earlier surveys of registered voters. Among Texas likely voters who choose a candidate, 93 percent say their mind is made up. That includes 94 percent of Cruz backers and 92 percent of O’Rourke backers.
Women are divided as 50 percent back Cruz and 48 percent back O’Rourke. Men back Cruz 57 – 42 percent. White voters back Cruz 66 – 32 percent. O’Rourke leads 97 – 3 percent among black voters and 54 – 45 percent among Hispanic voters.
Republicans back Cruz 94 – 6 percent, as Democrats go to O’Rourke 94 – 4 percent. Independent voters are divided with 51 percent for O’Rourke and 47 percent for Cruz.
Now is not the time to get complacent. While the RNC may be able to breath a sigh of relief since it looks like they won’t have to redirect funds to Texas, O’Rourke still maintains a large money lead. Cruz has baggage leftover from his failed presidential campaign and Republicans in the state seem less enthusiastic to vote in the midterms than Democrats.
Every seat counts this year. The only chance for President Trump to push a conservative agenda is if his party retains control of both chambers of Congress.