News outlet The Economist currently projects that former president Donald Trump has a 2 in 3 chance (66 percent) to win the election, according to its national forecast tool.
The forecast gathers data from several different states and national polls along with economic indicators to gauge which candidate will likely win each district. It runs over 10,000 simulated elections to determine who would win the electoral college. Our new forecast model suggests that Donald Trump has a clear lead in America’s presidential election https://t.co/LRp5gJMNRW pic.twitter.com/o0pwq5wZGh — The Economist (@TheEconomist) June 12, 2024 Learn the benefits of becoming a Valuetainment Member and subscribe today!
As they point out, the head-to-head polls do not reflect the outcome of the election, as elections in the United States are not decided by popular vote.
They add that Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona, and Georgia are the key states to watch in upcoming election. “In 2016, […]
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The question should not be what are the odds Trump will win. The odds are 100% that Trump will win again. The question should be what are the odds democrats will steal the election again.