I can’t take it anymore. Fake numbers that are released by the government get turned into fake news by the corporate media, and many Americans don’t even realize that they are being conned. Major news outlets all over the country are breathlessly trumpeting the “blockbuster jobs report” as if it is a sign from heaven that good economic times are ahead. We are being told that the U.S. economy added 517,000 jobs last month, but that isn’t true. Sadly, the truth is that the U.S. economy actually lost 2.5 million jobs in January.
Yes, you read that correctly. So how in the world does a loss of 2.5 million jobs become a “gain” of 517,000 jobs? Every month, government bureaucrats apply “adjustments” to the numbers that they believe are appropriate, and at this point their “adjustments” have become so absurd that they have turned the monthly employment report into a total farce.
As I have been documenting on my website for weeks, there has been a tremendous wave of layoffs over the last several months.
Google, Microsoft, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Lyft, Twitter, Walmart, McDonald’s, FedEx and countless other large corporations have decided to conduct mass layoffs.
But now the government expects us to believe that the U.S. economy is actually adding jobs at a very brisk pace?
That doesn’t make any sense at all.
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Unfortunately, the corporate media is totally buying it. For example, CNBC just posted an article that described the jobs report as “stunningly strong”…
The employment picture started off 2023 on a stunningly strong note, with nonfarm payrolls posting their biggest gain since July 2022.
Nonfarm payrolls increased by 517,000 for January, above the Dow Jones estimate of 187,000 and December’s gain of 260,000, according to a Labor Department report Friday.
And a CNN article has quoted one expert as saying that “the labor market is more like a bullet train”…
“With 517,000 new jobs added in January 2023 and the unemployment rate at 3.4%, this is a blockbuster report demonstrating that the labor market is more like a bullet train,” Becky Frankiewicz, president and chief commercial officer of ManpowerGroup, said Friday.
Really?
After all of the layoffs that we have witnessed in recent months, does she really believe that?
Not to be outdone, Moody’s Chief Economist Mark Zandi boldly declared that any concerns about a coming recession “should be completely dashed by these numbers”…
The January jobs report should “dash” concerns of recession, Moody’s chief economist said Friday, but warned that the numbers may overstate job growth.
“Any concern the economy is in recession or close to a recession should be completely dashed by these numbers,” Moody’s Chief Economist Mark Zandi told CNN’s Matt Egan on Friday, adding that it would take “an awful lot” to send the US economy into a downturn.
Come on man.
You are smarter than that.
The U.S. economy did not add 517,000 jobs last month.
That is the “adjusted” number.
The “unadjusted” number actually shows that the U.S. economy lost 2.5 million jobs last month. The following comes from Bloomberg…
For the establishment survey, the government’s updated seasonal factors may have impacted the headline payrolls figure. On an unadjusted basis, payrolls actually fell by 2.5 million last month.
That is actually what was measured.
But if you brazenly add more than 3 million jobs to the report that simply do not exist, it makes it look like the U.S. economy is doing just great.
Needless to say, Joe Biden was quite eager to take credit for the “spectacular” jobs report, and he also told reporters that he takes no responsibility for the raging inflation crisis that we are currently experiencing…
He replied with an emphatic ‘no’ when asked if he took any accountability for the price rises under his presidency. ‘It was already there when I got here, man.’
‘Remember what the economy was like when I got here? Jobs were hemorrhaging. Inflation was rising. We weren’t manufacturing the damn thing here. We were in real economic difficulty.’
Inflation in January 2021 when Biden took office was 1.4 percent. The latest December figures were 6.5 percent, down from a June 2022 peak of 9 percent.
For the next month, the Biden administration is going to endlessly boast that 517,000 jobs were added to the economy in January, and most Americans will never even know that it is a number that is entirely fictional.
The cold, hard reality of the matter is that economic activity is slowing down all around us, and many people are starting to become quite desperate…
Video out of Austin, Texas, shows desperate people climbing into supermarket dumpsters to retrieve food that may have been discarded due to a widespread power outage.
The shocking footage Thursday from behind an H-E-B grocery store in Southeast Austin featured people having a free-for-all from dumpsters, in what one commenter on Instagram described as a “dystopian hellscape.”
From now on, I really wish that the government would only release the raw, unadjusted employment numbers to the corporate media.
Because there is way too much guesswork that goes into the “adjustments” that the government bureaucrats are coming up with.
But that is never going to happen.
Every month they are just going to continue to tell us that things are better than they really are. At least that will give me something to write about.
If anyone tries to shove the “517,000 jobs” number in your face, please share this article with them.
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That figure does not reflect reality in any way.
The raw numbers show that 2.5 million jobs were actually lost last month, and that is absolutely horrible.
And as I continue to warn my readers, incredibly challenging economic times are on the horizon. More layoffs are coming, the housing market is going to continue to crash, and global food shortages are going to continue to intensify.
So don’t let anyone fool you. We really are plunging into a very serious economic downturn, and the months ahead are not going to be pleasant.
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Article cross-posted from The Economic Collapse Blog.
Five Things New “Preppers” Forget When Getting Ready for Bad Times Ahead
The preparedness community is growing faster than it has in decades. Even during peak times such as Y2K, the economic downturn of 2008, and Covid, the vast majority of Americans made sure they had plenty of toilet paper but didn’t really stockpile anything else.
Things have changed. There’s a growing anxiety in this presidential election year that has prompted more Americans to get prepared for crazy events in the future. Some of it is being driven by fearmongers, but there are valid concerns with the economy, food supply, pharmaceuticals, the energy grid, and mass rioting that have pushed average Americans into “prepper” mode.
There are degrees of preparedness. One does not have to be a full-blown “doomsday prepper” living off-grid in a secure Montana bunker in order to be ahead of the curve. In many ways, preparedness isn’t about being able to perfectly handle every conceivable situation. It’s about being less dependent on government for as long as possible. Those who have proper “preps” will not be waiting for FEMA to distribute emergency supplies to the desperate masses.
Below are five things people new to preparedness (and sometimes even those with experience) often forget as they get ready. All five are common sense notions that do not rely on doomsday in order to be useful. It may be nice to own a tank during the apocalypse but there’s not much you can do with it until things get really crazy. The recommendations below can have places in the lives of average Americans whether doomsday comes or not.
Note: The information provided by this publication or any related communications is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. We do not provide personalized investment, financial, or legal advice.
Secured Wealth
Whether in the bank or held in a retirement account, most Americans feel that their life’s savings is relatively secure. At least they did until the last couple of years when de-banking, geopolitical turmoil, and the threat of Central Bank Digital Currencies reared their ugly heads.
It behooves Americans to diversify their holdings. If there’s a triggering event or series of events that cripple the financial systems or devalue the U.S. Dollar, wealth can evaporate quickly. To hedge against potential turmoil, many Americans are looking in two directions: Crypto and physical precious metals.
There are huge advantages to cryptocurrencies, but there are also inherent risks because “virtual” money can become challenging to spend. Add in the push by central banks and governments to regulate or even replace cryptocurrencies with their own versions they control and the risks amplify. There’s nothing wrong with cryptocurrencies today but things can change rapidly.
As for physical precious metals, many Americans pay cash to keep plenty on hand in their safe. Rolling over or transferring retirement accounts into self-directed IRAs is also a popular option, but there are caveats. It can often take weeks or even months to get the gold and silver shipped if the owner chooses to close their account. This is why Genesis Gold Group stands out. Their relationship with the depositories allows for rapid closure and shipping, often in less than 10 days from the time the account holder makes their move. This can come in handy if things appear to be heading south.
Lots of Potable Water
One of the biggest shocks that hit new preppers is understanding how much potable water they need in order to survive. Experts claim one gallon of water per person per day is necessary. Even the most conservative estimates put it at over half-a-gallon. That means that for a family of four, they’ll need around 120 gallons of water to survive for a month if the taps turn off and the stores empty out.
Being near a fresh water source, whether it’s a river, lake, or well, is a best practice among experienced preppers. It’s necessary to have a water filter as well, even if the taps are still working. Many refuse to drink tap water even when there is no emergency. Berkey was our previous favorite but they’re under attack from regulators so the Alexapure systems are solid replacements.
For those in the city or away from fresh water sources, storage is the best option. This can be challenging because proper water storage containers take up a lot of room and are difficult to move if the need arises. For “bug in” situations, having a larger container that stores hundreds or even thousands of gallons is better than stacking 1-5 gallon containers. Unfortunately, they won’t be easily transportable and they can cost a lot to install.
Water is critical. If chaos erupts and water infrastructure is compromised, having a large backup supply can be lifesaving.
Pharmaceuticals and Medical Supplies
There are multiple threats specific to the medical supply chain. With Chinese and Indian imports accounting for over 90% of pharmaceutical ingredients in the United States, deteriorating relations could make it impossible to get the medicines and antibiotics many of us need.
Stocking up many prescription medications can be hard. Doctors generally do not like to prescribe large batches of drugs even if they are shelf-stable for extended periods of time. It is a best practice to ask your doctor if they can prescribe a larger amount. Today, some are sympathetic to concerns about pharmacies running out or becoming inaccessible. Tell them your concerns. It’s worth a shot. The worst they can do is say no.
If your doctor is unwilling to help you stock up on medicines, then Jase Medical is a good alternative. Through telehealth, they can prescribe daily meds or antibiotics that are shipped to your door. As proponents of medical freedom, they empathize with those who want to have enough medical supplies on hand in case things go wrong.
Energy Sources
The vast majority of Americans are locked into the grid. This has proven to be a massive liability when the grid goes down. Unfortunately, there are no inexpensive remedies.
Those living off-grid had to either spend a lot of money or effort (or both) to get their alternative energy sources like solar set up. For those who do not want to go so far, it’s still a best practice to have backup power sources. Diesel generators and portable solar panels are the two most popular, and while they’re not inexpensive they are not out of reach of most Americans who are concerned about being without power for extended periods of time.
Natural gas is another necessity for many, but that’s far more challenging to replace. Having alternatives for heating and cooking that can be powered if gas and electric grids go down is important. Have a backup for items that require power such as manual can openers. If you’re stuck eating canned foods for a while and all you have is an electric opener, you’ll have problems.
Don’t Forget the Protein
When most think about “prepping,” they think about their food supply. More Americans are turning to gardening and homesteading as ways to produce their own food. Others are working with local farmers and ranchers to purchase directly from the sources. This is a good idea whether doomsday comes or not, but it’s particularly important if the food supply chain is broken.
Most grocery stores have about one to two weeks worth of food, as do most American households. Grocers rely heavily on truckers to receive their ongoing shipments. In a crisis, the current process can fail. It behooves Americans for multiple reasons to localize their food purchases as much as possible.
Long-term storage is another popular option. Canned foods, MREs, and freeze dried meals are selling out quickly even as prices rise. But one component that is conspicuously absent in shelf-stable food is high-quality protein. Most survival food companies offer low quality “protein buckets” or cans of meat, but they are often barely edible.
Prepper All-Naturals offers premium cuts of steak that have been cooked sous vide and freeze dried to give them a 25-year shelf life. They offer Ribeye, NY Strip, and Tenderloin among others.
Having buckets of beans and rice is a good start, but keeping a solid supply of high-quality protein isn’t just healthier. It can help a family maintain normalcy through crises.
Prepare Without Fear
With all the challenges we face as Americans today, it can be emotionally draining. Citizens are scared and there’s nothing irrational about their concerns. Being prepared and making lifestyle changes to secure necessities can go a long way toward overcoming the fears that plague us. We should hope and pray for the best but prepare for the worst. And if the worst does come, then knowing we did what we could to be ready for it will help us face those challenges with confidence.
much like the fictional “climate catastrophe” it’s junk ‘science’ based on cooked numbers, ditto for the “millions” dead from covid.
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“There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies and statistics.” – Mark Twain
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“Washington, DC is 12 square miles bordered by reality.” – Andrew Johnson
Please explain the nature and f these “adjustments”, and if this is a common practice by other administrations.
Correction:
Please explain the nature of these “adjustments”, and if this is a common practice by other administrations.
The biggest adjustment is with “seasonal” work. They estimate how many jobs are considered seasonal and then deduct them from job losses every January. It’s done every year by every administration and they say it’s compensated by the jobs not being added to the numbers ahead of the Christmas season, but the numbers never jibe. They always add fewer “seasonal” jobs to the numbers in the last quarter than they deduct in January. With that said, they went way overboard this time to pump up the numbers.
Biden’s record on math is dismal….. his admin of agency apparatchiks covering for him even more so. Was it Abraham Lincoln that said : ” you can fool some of the people all the time , and you can fool all the people some of the time , but you can not fool all the people all of the time”. This describes the demokratzie party and it’s fearless puppet of present to a big T.
When all else fails, manipulate the data.
I totally believe this story. I too was shocked when I heard this number having read numerous articles the past month on how so many companies were laying off thousands, not hundreds of employees. Fact is you cant get people to work. The Buffets in vegas are not open all day like they used to be but most have a brunch and that its, not evening buffet. they told me they cant get enough workers to keep it open. Hotels are now saying at check in they only service your room every other day and if you need something you must ask.
We are in a society of non workers sitting home playing video games and getting checks from the govt. Hell no they dont want to work.
They said these numbers were for the hospitality industry. Ya everyone is traveling in Jan, with the weather weve had nation wide where do you go for great fun in the sun. Mars?
Under Obama he made it look better because they stopped counting people who do not want to work and those not looking for work in their unemployment numbers. Obuma had about a 13% unemployment rate at one time but they boasted 3.1 percent.
There is a great little book, “How to Lie with Statistics,” which was required reading when I took an elementary economics course at Ohio State in 1967. It’s still available and should be required reading by everyone.
You can go to the BLS.gov website yourself and pull the data.
They are not afraid to show you both the Seasonal and non-seasonal numbers.
Why? Because they have the media conditioned to ignore the actual data.
Seasonal adjustments are not the result of guess work. Rather, they reflect mathematics based on over 80 years of observed market behavior. Are they perfect? No. Are they meaningful? Yes.
If you don’t trust the SA data, which is sensible, look at the year on year comparisons of NSA data. If you do, you will find that annual payroll growth in January was faster than December but slower than November. In other words, it was a strong data point but consistent with recent trends.
The BLS isn’t making stuff up. But one should not rely on ‘journalists’ to interpret their data for you, including Mr. America First.
Just remember –
– The invisible people that Biden tries to shake hands with are real (only he can see them).
– There is no Hunter Biden laptop.
– Zelensky might need another 120 Billion.
– Russian prostitutes peed on Trump.
– Biden didn’t get lost in the Rose Garden. He was looking for buried treasure.
– Kamala Harris is articulate. Especially about yellow school buses.
– Slick Willie did not have sex with Lewinsky.
– Hillary landed in Bosnia “under sniper fire”.
– John Kerry is a “war hero”.
– Obama is a Hawaiian born Christian.
– Biden got 81 million votes.
– The Benghazi massacre was caused by an anti-muslim video.
– The Afghanistan “withdrawal” was meticulously planned.
– Biden banished “Corn Pop” from a municipal pool with a 6 ft. chain.