(DCNF)—Newsmax political analyst Mark Halperin said Friday that Vice President Kamala Harris may have only one viable path to an Electoral College victory.
Harris currently trails former President Donald Trump slightly in five of the top seven swing states and only holds narrow leads in Michigan and Wisconsin, according to the RealClearPolling averages. Halperin, on “Wake Up America,” said Harris’ campaign may need to sweep Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin in order to defeat Trump as he leads her in the Sun Belt swing states.
“I don’t think it’s impossible for her to win some of the Sun Belt states and I don’t think she’s given up. She’s got so much money and it’s still coming in that she can fully fund those states. But if you’re asking about their Electoral College calculations, they’re certainly not emphasizing the Sun Belt,” Halperin said. “For a time when she replaced [President] Joe Biden, there was some talk of perhaps the Sun Belt strategy is a better one for her as compared to Joe Biden. But if they’re not 100% down to winning Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, they’re pretty close to it at this point.”
“As her chances of winning the four bigger Sun Belt states have receded, that gives Trump more options to get to 270 … The reality of the private polling, which differs from the public polling on both sides — and Trump is, you know — got a chance to win all three of the Midwestern states, the Great Lake states,” he added. “And he just probably will need one to win it. And he leads a movement, she doesn’t. And doubts about her continue.”
As the race remains extremely tight in the swing states, statistician Nate Silver criticized pollsters on Thursday for the results they publish, which have tended to align with each other.
“I don’t think we’re going to learn very much in this last week of the polling. In fact, I kind of trust pollsters less. Every time a pollster, ‘Oh, every state is just a plus one. Every single state’s a tie.’ No, you’re fucking herding. You’re cheating. You’re cheating,” Silver said. “Your numbers aren’t all going to come out at exactly one-point leads when you’re sampling 800 people over dozens of surveys. You are lying. You’re putting your fucking finger on the scale.”
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