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This morning (12/6), as I did my morning bicycle ride (I live in a safe neighborhood), I listened to Breitbart News host Alex Marlowe interview John Nolte, another Breitbart personality about COVID vaccination hesitancy. They quoted data that purports to show that counties Trump won in Washington State have much higher COVID death rates than counties that Biden won. Vaccination rates are blamed for the difference. Marlowe went on to declare that it’s been proven that Ivermectin is a “dewormer” and should be removed from the conversation. These factoids are so off-the-wall for a so-called conservative outlet that we must have a short refresher.
Figures Don’t Lie, but Liars Can Figure
The key offender here is something called “relative risk.” If there’s a one in a million chance of something happening, that’s a miniscule absolute risk. If it goes up to two in a million, it’s still a miniscule absolute risk that you really won’t get bothered about. But that difference can be presented as a 100% increase in risk or doubling, which sounds really awful. The overall rate of death is in the tenths of a percent in the most vulnerable population.
Headlines about Republicans killing off their voter base are simply scare mongering in the decimal points using relative instead of absolute risk. The real rate of death under age 50 for COVID is “indistinguishable from zero” according to the weekly British monitoring service.
Figures Don’t Lie, but Liars Can Figure (Part 2)
Let’s suppose that the data from Washington State that David Leonhardt presents is accurate, and red counties are seeing excess deaths. Let’s discount the “overtesting” issue, since it is likely the same in all areas. Let’s also assume that the “vaccines” do offer some degree of protection, even though data clearly shows that such protection fades rapidly, with new variants making them even less effective. So what’s happening?
Here we’re seeing the Fallacy of the Excluded Middle. The loud voices refuse to accept that there’s an option beyond “vaxxed or not vaxxed.” In this case, Marlowe’s blithe “dewormer” comment shows that he’s actually committing a different logical fallacy, the Appeal to Authority. He has accepted the FDA’s false warning that “you are not a horse, etc.” so you should not take Ivermectin, an extremely safe drug with a wide range of antiviral effects.
Randomized controlled trials have proven it to reduce COVID deaths even better than the vaccine. The state of Uttar Pradesh in India used IVM to wipe out COVID for 241 million people. But those people in Washington’s red counties were ruled by Dark Lord Inslee, making IVM and HCQ unavailable. No medical discussion can be complete without these alternatives.
Liars Can Force You to Behave How They Want You to Behave
As I’ve noted, in order for you to exercise an option to seek alternative treatment, you have to have a physician who is willing to prescribe such medication. But most of those doctors will refuse, because under the dictatorial rule of officials such as Governor Inslee, such prescribing is likely to get that doctor’s license to practice medicine revoked. With such a Sword of Damocles overhead, few prescribers will go near IVM or HCQ. That means they can talk vaxxed or not vaxxed as if it was they were the only possibilities.
Omicron
This virus is mutating according to Muller’s Ratchet. It’s getting easier to catch, and less likely to make you really sick or dead. It’s affecting young children more than earlier variants. Any benefit of the vaccine is unknown. At the same time, there’s no reason to suspect that IVM and HCQ would not be effective against it. In other words, Omicron is just one step of COVID-19 becoming another variant of the common cold. Or it may have simply swapped some of its genetic sequence with a common cold virus. That might explain why it’s showing up all over the world at once.
Masks Don’t Help
I feel like I’m beating a dead horse here, but facts are facts. We have dozens of surveillance studies that show that mask wearing by the general public has no effect on transmission of airborne viruses. You either have an easy to breathe through cloth diaper that doesn’t filter, or an expensive disposable diaper that filters but that you breathe around. Neither one has any useful effect. A recent study that supposedly shows that masks work has so many (scientific) holes that it simply doesn’t hold water.
COVID is a Mild Disease (if you treat it!)
COVID is one of those mild diseases that sends sick people over the edge because they don’t need much of a shove. But for healthy people to die of it, they have to be kept away from effective drugs like IVM and HCQ. Then the Quixotic Quislings of Quarantine can claim that it’s far worse than it actually is. With any of the proven protocols for those drugs, COVID is no worse than the flu. But the billions available in the COVID lottery are so large that it’s hard for anyone to remember that the task of a doctor is to treat the sick, not to keep them away from treatment because they didn’t get a shot that is less effective than the $8 India spent.
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Parting Thoughts
The COVID pandemic is a man-caused disaster, and I’m not talking about how the bug was created. In the earliest days, we didn’t know how to treat it, but within a couple of months effective HCQ protocols were available. But that contradicted the bureaucrats at NIH/CDC/LSD who were married to their own approach of lockdown, distance, and vaccinate – unless you are one of the elites. They were the smartest people in the room, and anyone who contradicted them was the spawn of the devil.
We have extremely effective protocols that anyone who gets sick should be able to use, but those bureaucrats have the ability to punish anyone who prescribes one of them. In short, we are in a concentration camp from sea to shining sea. America the Beautiful is now COVIDia the Rapacious. We are cannon fodder at the command of those who know nothing but do not care.
Ted Noel MD is a retired Anesthesiologist/Intensivist who podcasts and posts on social media as DoctorTed and @vidzette. His DoctorTed podcasts are available on Apple, Stitcher, Pandora and other channels.
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Sounds like Brietbart has gone wokeist. Taking a statistic that appears to show an outcome, then ignoring any and all possible factors and explanations except the narrative they want to push, decreeing that to be the cause.
There are many reasons the mortality rate could differ. Average age of a given area. Quality and availability of healthcare. Etc. In rural areas, people tend to be older, there aren’t hospitals just down the street (it can a long time for an ambulance to come get you and take you back to the hospital), hospitals are smaller, not as well equipped, don’t always have the best doctors, etc., etc.
People in rural areas, and conservatives in general, also tend to be tougher, more independent, more laid back and less hysterical. They don’t panic and go to the doctor and/or get tested for covid every time they get the sniffles or feel an ache or pain, so there’s a good chance the number of cases are understated, which would also inflate the mortality rate.
There are tons of possible factors they have ignored.
BB is under pressure too from big tech, and leaning that way. Nolte is one of those do as I say, not as I do, dudes. He uses all the swear words he wants in his articles, but bans such use in the comment sections. I’ve been suspicious of them for a long time. WVW.com, with Brannon Howse is the one to listen to.