Today’s announcement that the government shutdown will be temporarily ended without a penny allocated for the border wall was a major blow to the President’s credibility, resolve, and reelection hopes… at least in the eyes of many conservatives. But they forget three important facts.
Before we get to those, here’s the speech:
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) January 25, 2019
Credibility can be easily reestablished if he’s able to get the wall deal done. Whether that means getting Congress to do its job or invoking some other measure such as a national emergency or 10 U.S.C. 284, so be it. The election is far away and if he gets the wall started soon, this cave will be meaningless.
Resolve in a futile situation is honorable in certain situations. When 800,000 people are getting hurt by the resolve, it must be drawn down. As with his credibility, getting the wall started soon will negate this hit on his resolve. In fact, he may be able to spin it as forcing Democrats to negotiate even though they wouldn’t talk about the wall otherwise.
As for his 2020 hopes, no, this cave will be meaningless if he gets the wall. If he doesn’t get the wall started before election day, it’ll mean everything. He will lose.
All the hot takes that come out today and all the weak analyses that follow over the next three weeks will all be thrown to the trash bin if he gets the wall started soon. If he doesn’t, this cave will come back to haunt him. Build the wall, Mr. President.