Democrat and Republican voters are all fired up, riled up, emboldened, energized, enraged, and every other headline buzzword one could think of when it comes to Brett Kavanaugh’s confirmation. Both sides have news articles and polls pointing to them having the advantage. Both have in-depth analyses explaining why their side is going to turn Kavanaugh’s confirmation battle into victories in November.
Both sides are right and wrong to some extent and nobody knows for sure how it’s going to play out on election day. If they claim to know for sure, they’re partisan hacks.
Here’s how both sides benefit from the Kavanaugh confirmation debacle:
- Democrats say they’ll get a repeat of 1992 when the highest percentage of women voters in history hit the polls following Anita Hill’s testimony before the Senate to discuss her sexual harassment claims against Clarence Thomas. It is true the female celebrities are out in full force and female voters have taken to social media and “woman on the streets” interviews to say they really are going to vote against Republicans for what they did to Christine Blasey Ford.
- Republicans say the circus the Democrats created has energized the base in a way that’s not normal for a midterm election. They now see the threat Democratic control on Capitol Hill can be for the President’s agenda if they don’t get out to vote. Most polls following confirmation indicated shifts towards Republican candidates.
Both sides are right. Both sides are wrong. With just under four weeks left until election day, a lot can happen to deflate either or both sides regarding Kavanaugh. This is why many will try to keep the fire burning for as long as they can. However, there are also elements on both sides who are reading different tea leafs and deciding it’s better to move on.
Advice to conservatives
Both sides are going to do what they do with Kavanaugh and other issues that pop up between now and election day. Let them. Conservatives must take a different angle and look long term.
There are many who voted for President Trump solely because of the Supreme Court and lower courts. They didn’t like him. Perhaps they still don’t like him. Many didn’t like what the Republicans have done by putting forth outrageous budgets that would make President Obama blush. Many are still wondering why Planned Parenthood is still being funded, Obamacare is still alive and well, and we’re barely moving forward with the infamous wall.
Put all that aside for now. It’s the courts. It’s always been the courts. Until we’re able to get real conservatives and federalism-minded small government proponents in office, we have to take the only victory available to us and that’s getting originalists on the Supreme Court and lower courts. Thus far, President Trump has done as promised and Republicans have followed through to put decent people on the courts. There’s no way to tell if this will continue in the second half of the President’s term, but we know with an absolute certainty that if the Democrats take control, the courts will lurch left.
Two Justices are in their 80s and desperately in need of retirement, so there’s a good chance President Trump will get at least one more opportunity to nominate someone. To those who voted for Trump because of the courts, it’s imperative that we stay the course and give him the power keep doing what he’s doing there.
Representatives and Senators come and go, but Supreme Court Justices affect lives for generations. Get to the polls, if only for the courts. Get your friends and family to the polls. Midterms generally work against a President. That cannot happen this time.