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Data from U,S, Customs and Border Protection show 2017 will have the fewest illegal immigrants crossing the southwest border in the last five years. However, after a sharp decline following President Trump’s inauguration, numbers bottomed out in April, 2017 and have been rising steadily ever since.
November was the first month since January to have more border crossings than previous years, beating November 2013 and 2014. The numbers, compiled and charted by Axios, show a concerning trend:
Fewer immigrants crossed the southwest border when Trump became president
When Donald Trump became President in January, there was a dramatic drop in the number of immigrants who illegally crossed the U.S. southwest border.
Why it matters: The uncertainty of what would happen to DACA and other Obama-era immigration policies may have caused fewer people to try to cross the border illegally. And Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton told Axios in October that he credited the decline in border crossings to Trump’s tough-on-immigration stance.
What’s causing the change of heart after a dramatic dip in reaction to Trump’s presidency? The answer could lie in the difference between campaign promises and actions.
Softer than expected
Few doubted the President’s resolve about stopping illegal immigration when he was elected. Conservatives cheered his plans for increased security and a border wall while liberals called him a bigot and called for open borders.
The reality has been mixed. He still maintains a hardline stance with his rhetoric, but it hasn’t resulted in the kinds of legislation expected from Republicans on Capitol Hill. There is still no funding for the border wall. DACA is in the process of being fixed. Border patrol resources have increased, but not to the extent promised in 2016.
It seems the fear of Trump is fading. If Congress doesn’t put meaningful legislation on the President’s desk soon, we could see an increase in illegal immigration in 2018 thanks to the DACA move. The Obama-era executive order was rescinded, but only with the expectation that Congress would make it legislatively permanent. This means the narrative across the border is now very similar to when President Obama signed DACA in the first place.
Proposed changes to chain migration and funding the border wall must happen quickly or we’re going to end up watching this trend continue to rise through the 2018 election season, at which point it’s unlikely Republicans will push much legislation that tries to stave off the problem. They need to act. The DACA fix, if it must be done, needs to include everything the President is asking for an more. Otherwise, they should just let President Trump’s extension expire.
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