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For the first time in three years, Democrats moving on impeachment of the President has very little to do with President Trump. Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi is deploying a strategy she hopes will end impeachment discussions once and for all.
This may seem counterintuitive considering she’s now leading the charge to get the impeachment inquiry going, but we can see from the timing that this is 100% about quelling calls from the radical progressive base in her party, pandering to their passions while quietly planning an exit strategy from the entire impeachment debacle. She knows this impeachment inquiry will yield no fruit. In fact, she’s banking on it.
Say what you will about Pelosi, but she’s a very strong political strategist. She realizes the stink of impeachment will linger on her caucus much longer and more strongly than it lingers on the President. The people do not have an appetite for this sort of theater, so pushing full force and bringing it to a vote before Congress is political suicide for her party in 2020, especially those who are considered to be “moderates” or who operate out of red or purple districts. Impeachment will stick to them harder than it stuck to Republicans following Bill Clinton’s impeachment because the wrongdoing was blatant with Clinton. Nevertheless, it was still unpopular with the people, just as impeaching President Trump would be.
By announcing the inquiry BEFORE details of the whistleblower’s claims are fully known, Pelosi hopes for a quick resolution to the issue. She hopes they can go to their base and say, “Hey, we tried, but he’s too slippery, so let’s focus on the 2020 election.” If she had waited for details to be released, it would have been more hemming and hawing that would infuriate the far left in her party.
Now, they’ve acted. They’ve pushed forward. They’ve catered to the demands from the left. And when the whistleblower’s complaints turn out to be a big, fat nothingburger against the President, Pelosi will be able to hit he brakes on impeachment. The radicals won’t be satisfied, but they won’t be able to complain that she didn’t at least try. They can say he needs to be impeached out of principle all they want, but in the end Pelosi gets to escape the impeachment trap relatively unscathed while making her detractors within the Democratic Party look like the unhinged wing with no plan and no real power.
More than anything else, Pelosi needs to get legislative wins under her belt. So far, they have nothing but impeachment, Robert Mueller, and a whistleblower, none of which have yielded fruit. This impeachment inquiry is Kabucki Theater.
Democrats who think Nancy Pelosi is now siding with them on impeachment aren’t paying much attention to the situation. This is a sham designed to shut them up. She’s much more afraid of her radical base than she is of Republicans.
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