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In the middle of August, 2015, Senator Cruz was in the middle of the pack for the Republican nomination for President. Despite having strong fundraising, he had held back on spending much as others pushed to gain early polling bumps. According the the August Rasmussen poll, Cruz was in 7th place, trailing Donald Trump, Marco Rubio, Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Scott Walker, and even Carly Fiorina. His ranking on betting sites had him even lower with John Kasich and Chris Christie showing better odds of winning the nomination.
By March the following year, he was second to Trump and appeared to be the only candidate who had a shot of beating him. Campaign mistakes, poor coverage by mainstream media, and the audacious style that has become President Trump’s trademark killed off the young Senator’s chances, but his rise from the middle of crowded pack to come in 2nd is noteworthy.
Is there a Ted Cruz in the mix today for the Democrats? Joe Biden enjoys a strong lead. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren combine to match him, so it’s assumed one will drop out and throw support to the other. Kamala Harris still looks strong despite polling losses this month. Pete Buttigieg rounds out the bottom of the top tier candidates, holding on at 5%-10% in most polls.
As for the rest, which one is the 2020 Cruz? Will it be Beto O’Rourke, who has relaunched his campaign (again) to focus on calling everything in America racist? How about Andrew Yang, the businessman who’s going to give everyone $1000 per month? Can Cory Booker finally crack the top tier soon? If it’s going to be anyone, it will be one of these three. The other candidates simply haven’t been noticed by voters or the media.
Perhaps the better question to ask is if there are any Rick Santorum’s among the Democrats. At this point in 2011, Santorum was at 1%. He ended up coming in second to Mitt Romney for the GOP nomination.
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