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July border crossing numbers fall, but don’t get too excited

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July border crossing numbers fall but dont get too excited

July marked the first time in five months that border apprehensions dropped below the 100,000 mark. The 82,049 illegal immigrants captured in July was a 21% drop from the previous month, giving hope to some that the border crisis may be subsiding. But there’s a major caveat so far few media outlets have considered.

Yes, Mexico’s cooperation with the United States in our battle against the migrant surges at our southern border clearly made an impact, as Fox News noted.

Number of migrants at southern border drops below 100K amid increased cooperation by Mexico

The number of migrants encountered by U.S. authorities at the border with Mexico has dropped below 100,000 for the first time in five months amid increased collaboration by Mexico and Guatemala to crack down on the flow of humanity, according to government data released Thursday.

U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) encountered 82,049 people in July, down 21 percent from June when there were 104,344 people and down 43 percent from May. The number of families and minors crossing the border also dropped.

But buried in the story is a note that seasonal border crossing numbers are showing a steeper decrease than in previous years. This is true, but there’s a bigger difference this year. It was hot in July. VERY hot. Record setting temperatures across the region clearly contributed to many migrants choosing to wait for cooler weather. That’s not to say there isn’t good news in the numbers or that Mexico’s assistance is negligible. But before we break out the champagne, let’s consider what acting Homeland Security Director Kevin McAleenan said while reporting the numbers.

“The situation is improving by every available metric, but, and I want to be very clear about this, we remain at and beyond crisis levels,” McAleenan said.

This will not cease or even slow considerably until we either fix the asylum laws, ramp up deportations, or both. There is simply too much incentive for migrants in poor financial situations to take the risk, degrade themselves at the hands of cartels, and breach our borders in hopes they can stay indefinitely.

Even with the decline, the numbers are 10x higher than they should be in order to make it not only manageable for border patrol but sustainable for our nation. There will always be illegal immigration, but these high numbers can be the new normal.

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