There was significant astonishment after the Democratic debates about the hard veer to the left that all the candidates appeared to take. Even so-called “moderate” Joe Biden raised his hand when asked if a national healthcare plan should cover illegal immigrants. Whether on abortion, immigration, healthcare or taxes, their positions all seemed to be well outside the mainstream if you look at issues polling.
I explained this after the midterms, but I’ll give it another go. I sort of went down a rabbit hole trying to figure out where the heck Alexandria Ocasio Cortez and her loony ideas came from. I found some answers. But from what we saw last week, it seems like candidates on the national stage are buying into the same ideas. So here is where I believe the election strategy comes from.
Data for Progress is a Progressive think tank that is an affiliate of Tides Advocacy. Tides Advocacy is funded through the Tides Foundation which is a dark money bundler for Progressive candidates and causes. By extension then, so is Data for Progress. Tides Advocacy’s function is to advise and quickly prop up social justice activists groups. They provide political consulting, legal services and the other administrative expertise so feet can hit the street and stir things up faster. Need a logo? They got you. Social media amplification? They pick up the phone and help make it happen.
Once you take a look at these organizations, how their leaders interact with each other’s messaging and how they work together, it doesn’t take Glenn Beck’s infamous whiteboard to see what is going on. You also don’t wonder why a sitting congresswoman is amplifying the tweet of a group that is just a week old in support of her “concentration camp” meme.
Direct actions of profound solidarity, just like these, hold enormous power to change our country.
— Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (@AOC) July 1, 2019
I like to call it Astroturf. But it seems to work. Tulsi Gabbard has said that her fellow Democratic hopefuls like to stick their fingers in the Twitter wind to see what way the wind is blowing. If their policy prescriptions last week are any indication, she could be right.
However, they may also be helped along by groups like Data for Progress. Their flagship report, The Future of the Party was released in April of 2018. It recommends ignoring moderate and swing voters and concentrating on concentrating on the more progressive non-voters. At least that is their theory. It also shouldn’t surprise you that the Justice Democrats, AOC’s backers, were involved in commissioning or creating the report.
The report is boiled down into three main points:
- A pivot toward the “center” is poison with the Democratic primary electorate, using historical data to show the increasing liberalism of Democratic voters on core progressive values.
- Marginal voters and non-voters support key progressive policies and could form a durable base for the Democratic Party.
- Democratic incumbents are failing their constituents by opposing progressive policies with broad-based support.
Now this report, unlike most of its kind or other types of legitimate polling data, has no links to a data set or any explanation of the methodology they used to collect the data. It has some notations to magazine and article content at the end along with some citations, but may data sets are not matched with a corresponding citation number. This makes me automatically suspicious of the contents. This is compounded by graphs of data taken over decades that are not sourced, yet show bizarre spikes, like this one.
The report also makes assertions that are just not true. Polling shows American’s are supportive of Medicare for All in theory. More nuanced polling shows support drops dramatically across the board when respondents understand it includes the elimination of private insurance. Even Kamala Harris’s concession to supplemental plans will not fly when people understand this will only be for elective and uncovered services. Support plummets further when the idea of rationing, an inevitable consequence of single payer, is raised.
This continues into issues like repealing the Hyde Amendment. Support for this also drops dramatically in the face of Democrats free, on demand throughout pregnancy position. They also display information that only includes the opinions of the Democrats far left primary voters. The theme of the entire report in summarized in one quote from the commentary:
THERE IS NO QUESTION: Democratic primary voters support a populist progressive agenda that ties racial justice to progressive economic populism. The days are long gone when a message proclaiming “the end of big government as we know it,” could win a Democratic primary.
And this is exactly what you are seeing. Even Joe Biden’s sudden flip on repealing the Hyde Amendment after 40 years is aligned with the information contained in this report. The good news is it is completely focused on winning the primary and not the general. It also explicitly cautions moving back to the middle for the general election. At this point, that may not even be possible for the leading candidates. A few rolls of video form the first debate and no one will trust them.
Data for Progress asserts that the only way forward the base will tolerate is building a new Democrat Party. One that relies on motivating marginal and non-voters who they claim support the group’s favored progressive polices at unprecedented levels to go vote. This will be easy to do in California where the ballot box now comes to you via ballot harvesting. It also explains the full on Leftist assault on the Electoral College and the push for the National Popular Vote compact. California, which is just ripe for voter fraud and manipulation with their updated election law could easily drive the popular vote sealing the deal.
This is all exceptionally easy to find on the internet. And if the debates last week are any indication, it appears the campaigns for the potential nominees are listening. The only real question is whether the Left has the strategies and the resources to mobilize the voters they seek in time for 2020. I’ll be honest in that I am skeptical. However, they won’t stop trying and a long term strategy to combat this new coalition should start as quickly as possible.
We are currently forming the American Conservative Movement. If you are interested in learning more, we will be sending out information in a few weeks.
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