As Israelis prepare to go to the polls next week, one man has emerged as the one who will reshape the government. It isn’t Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his Likud Party. It isn’t Benny Gantz and his Blue and White Party. It’s Avigdor Lieberman, the former Israeli Defense and Foreign Minister who leads the Yisrael Beitenu Party.

Despite his party being much smaller than the two giants (Likud and Blue and White tied with 35 Knesset seats in April’s election compared to Yisrael Beitenu’s 5), Lieberman holds all the cards. Neither large party is projected to have enough sears to form a coalition government without Yisrael Beitenu just as Netanyahu needed their five seats in April. This election, polls indicate Lieberman’s party could hold as many as 11 seats, making any government practically impossible without their support.

This puts both Gantz and Netanyahu in precarious positions. Lieberman’s main policy points against Likud is their appeasement of the ultra-orthodox population that currently gets special privileges such as not having to serve in the military like all other Jewish Israelis. Lieberman is pushing hard against Judaism playing such a prominent role in political decisions, preferring secular solutions to the nation’s problems.

Likud has maintained power by forming conservative coalition governments, but if they win again as they did in April, Lieberman will likely force them to abandon a coalition with the far-right and add his centrist nationalist party as well as center-left Blue and White to the mix. This would pull the government to the center even with Netanyahu as Prime Minister.

But this doesn’t make for good news for Blue and White, either, as even with Yisrael Beitenu’s support, they would likely be unable to form a coalition government without Likud. One way or the other, Yisrael Beitenu will force the conservative, religious parties to lose power outside of the Knesset.

The only way for this to not happen is if Israelis give Likud and their conservative allies enough seats to not need Lieberman’s support. This is very unlikely. If Likud pulls off another victory, they will likely find their conservative wing diminished from where it was in April. Assuming that’s the case, Netanyahu would have to make concessions to Lieberman, concessions that will prohibit the far-right parties from participating in the coalition.

In other words, Netanyahu may not change, but his ability to continue enacting conservative policies will be decimated. He’ll be forced to withdraw protections for ultra-Orthodox Jews.

The most likely scenario has the two biggest parties working together to form a government with right-leaning parties and perhaps a couple of left-leaning small ones to fill out the 61 seats necessary to form a government.

The role of Prime Minister may be a battle between Benjamin Netanyahu and Benny Gantz, but the man who will determine the political fate of Israel is Avigdor Lieberman. Israel’s government hasn’t been in this much turmoil since their founding.

We are currently forming the American Conservative Movement. If you are interested in learning more, we will be sending out information in a few weeks.

Elizabeth Heng is a Republican. She made that clear in a video her PAC ran during last night’s Democratic debate. It drew heavy criticism from the left as Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s picture was burned in the beginning of the video to reveal death and misery from Cambodia’s Khmer Rouge genocide, of which Heng’s father almost fell victim.

Meanwhile, many on the right are cheering the bold statement against socialism, which Ocasio-Cortez unabashedly supports. “This is the face of socialism and ignorance,” the video begins just before the image of Ocasio-Cortez burns away.

ABC drew fire for airing the ad, but Democrats should be thankful they did. If it had been censored, chances are it would have been given even more attention than it already has. But instead of sitting back and letting her tribe defend her, AOC decided to chime in with an irrational response that will highlight the video even further.

When all you have is a hammer, everything becomes a nail. For AOC, all she has is the race card, so of course she accuses this video of somehow appealing to… white supremacists?

Nothing says “white supremacy” more than “daughter of Cambodian immigrants who escaped the Khmer Rouge.” https://t.co/mDRRaXcNIu

— Jay Caruso (@JayCaruso) September 13, 2019

AOC labeling her Asian GOP opponent, whose family were Cambodian migrants, a “white supremacist” is further proof the Left’s race card was played out long ago. It’s just the reflexive comeback of tantrum-throwing, spiritually rebellious pagans not getting their way.

— Steve Deace (@SteveDeaceShow) September 13, 2019

A Cambodian woman makes an ad highlighting the Cambodian Genocide/the horrors of socialism and @AOC has the audacity to call it "racist?"

Instead of responding to the content of the ad, #BoycottABC is now trying to bully tv networks into not running it. Wonder why that is? 🤔🧐 https://t.co/vfTMM2t7fR

— Andrew Surabian (@Surabees) September 13, 2019

Ocasio-Cortez just responded to the ad by calling Heng, who is Asian, a "white supremacist"@AOC is so stupid that she does not realize that she just played right into the point of the ad: it pissed her off, she reacted, and now the group is getting TONS of attention

😂🤣😂🤣 pic.twitter.com/MazDC7ZDVK

— Ryan Saavedra (@RealSaavedra) September 13, 2019

No, @AOC, this is not a love letter to white supremacists. It’s a warning to all Americans that the unhinged tenets of the socialism you promote would lead to death and destruction if you’re ever given the power to bring it to America.

We are currently forming the American Conservative Movement. If you are interested in learning more, we will be sending out information in a few weeks.

Former Vice President Joe Biden is the anointed pick of the Democratic Establishment. The same people who gave us Hillary Clinton to beat up on in 2016 are pushing hard for Biden to be President Trump’s next electoral victim. It’s ironic considering the state of the Democratic Party that an old white guy is the only chance the Establishment thinks they have at winning in 2020.

But who can blame them? Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders are so far to the left, even Barack Obama seems like a right-leaning moderate by comparison. Kamala Harris has such an atrocious personality, she makes Clinton seem likable. Pete Buttigieg, Andrew Yang, Cory Booker, and Amy Klobuchar are only appealing to portions of the Democratic Party. Beto O’Rourke is running to be for gun control what Al Gore was for climate change. Julian Castro lost his membership card with ageism against Biden last night.

As for Biden’s performance, it was his best yet. That’s not saying much, as his first two debates were embarrassing. This time he definitely had gaffes and seemed to lose track of his grasp of the English language at times, but he was also aggressive when he needed to be and gave the Establishment hope that the least radical of this merry bunch of far-left progressives might actually make it through the primaries as their nominee.

There’s still a long way to go before the Democrats nominate someone, but it seems to be Biden’s nomination to lose, especially considering he’s been pushing further to left since announcing his candidacy. Since he’s locked in as the pragmatic choice among the frontrunners, his campaign’s goal now is to make him palatable to the far-left who control the major progressive groups he’ll need in order to secure the nomination quickly.

But he still has a huge problem… two, actually. Those who don’t like him REALLY don’t like him, to the point they consider him anathema as a nominee. On the other side of the fence, those who support him aren’t that passionate about him. Some support him because they liked President Obama and see him as the closest thing to continuing where the last Democratic President left off before Trump interrupted their continuum. Others support him because they think he has the best chance against Trump in 2020. Then, there are those who don’t really support him at all but who think the rest of the options are simply too radical.

Republicans should hope for his continued success in these debates and on the campaign trail. He may be a worse candidate than Hillary was, and with President Trump’s base growing, Biden’s nomination represents an near-certain GOP victory.

We are currently forming the American Conservative Movement. If you are interested in learning more, we will be sending out information in a few weeks.