Up front, it’s important to not that I believe presidential candidate Beto O’Rourke is a clown. When Betomania was ramping up before he announced his candidacy for president, I looked at his “accomplishments,” listened to him speak, and quickly realized he was not a valid candidate even when others were saying he could be the guy to beat. I’m not a good prognosticator of political fortunes (I thought Marco Rubio was a sure-fire nominee in early 2016 even as I supported Ted Cruz) but it seems likely I nailed it with O’Rourke.
In mid-March, I noted how his shine was already starting to fade with many leftists. A few days later I found it hilarious that after launching his campaign, he immediately went on an apology tour. Late last month, I laughed as he had nearly three dozen people attend a rally at UNLV. Today, I’m happy to announce that as he ramps up for Beto 2.0, he’s not going to regain any of the traction he lost.
In fact, I think he’s going to come out looking like a fool.
As Emily Zanotti at The Daily Wire noted, he’s no longer over 3% in any recent polls.
O’Rourke fell to less than 2% in the Monmouth University poll. By Sunday, O’Rourke had fallen further. He is not, according to CNN, polling above 3% in any of the early primary states.
Yes, his campaign clearly needs a reset, but I believe it’s going to fall faster than it did before because of one major character flaw. It’s something I noticed listening to him speak at rallies. His problem is that he truly, deeply believes it’s all about him. To be a politician, especially one shooting for the highest office in the world, one must have at least a bit of narcissism. But Beto’s self-perception is so inflated, he can’t imagine a world in which there are people who don’t like or trust him.
His ego is what brought him here. It’s what got him into politics. It’s what made him give up his easy job in Congress for a shot at the monstrous task of beating Ted Cruz in a statewide election. It’s the thing that drove him to run for president. But it’s also his greatest weakness. He is clearly subject to high highs and low lows. When the polls don’t jump immediately in his favor following a major policy announcement (and we can assume several of those are imminent), it touches him at the deepest levels of his soul.
If I could give him advice that I know he (thankfully) won’t take, it would be to run the campaign as if it’s not him at the center. Focus on the people. As long as he keeps making this about him, he’ll fail miserably.
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