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Additional forces sent to Persian Gulf adds fuel to speculation that Israel will take out Iran’s nuclear program

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Additional forces sent to Persian Gulf adds fuel to speculation that Israel will take out Irans nucl

The U.S. Department of Defense announced yesterday they were sending more units to U.S. Central Command in the Persian Gulf to join what was already there as well as the recently added Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group and a bomber strike group sent earlier in the month. The U.S.S. Arlington and a Patriot Missile battery will be added to the already-formidable military presence.

According to the DoD release:

USS Arlington is a San Antonio-class ship that transports U.S. Marines, amphibious vehicles, conventional landing craft and rotary aircraft with the capability to support amphibious assault, special operations, or expeditionary warfare missions.

USS Arlington also provides a high quality command and control capability and improved interoperability with our allies and partners in the region.

A Patriot battery is a long-range, all-weather air defense system to counter tactical ballistic missiles, cruise missiles and advanced aircraft.

This seems to be more than just preparation for possible attacks by Iran’s proxies, as has been reported by most news outlets covering the situation. Instead, it seems like the type of buildup that is in preparation for an anticipated major attack. As I speculated the Thursday, the anticipated major attack could be Iran’s retaliation for an upcoming Israeli mission to cripple Iran’s nuclear program following the defection of Brigadier General Ali Nasiri.

Here are the important facts to consider:

  • Nasiri brought with him a cache of military intelligence
  • His role as intelligence chief means he knows the whereabouts of every component of Iran’s nuclear program; his department oversaw protection for the program
  • A meeting on April 29 with top brass in U.S. military and intelligence was conspicuously held at CIA headquarters, the venue with the most secure direct connection to Israel’s Mossad
  • The two strike groups previously sent to the Persian Gulf combined with what was already there represent a tremendous offensive unit capable of taking out Iran’s entire military if necessary
  • The Arlington carries U.S. Marines and vehicles necessary for land-based missions
  • The presence of a Patriot battery is for missile attacks should Iran attack in that manner

Iran is being backed into an economic corner by U.S. sanctions, but that does not make an imminent attack on U.S. forces or the nation of Israel likely. They are desperate but not suicidal. It’s for this reason that I’m leaning towards addressing or preventing a counterstrike by Iran as the more likely scenario that calls for such tremendous nation-leveling firepower being sent to the region. If Israel takes out Iran’s nuclear program through airstrikes by Israeli forces, sabotage by the Mossad, or a coordinated combination of the two, Iran would be much more willing to go to war.

The defection of Nasiri just prior to this major escalation and the known meetings that have been held since is too conspicuous to be coincidence.

Once the U.S. has its forces locked and loaded in the Persian Gulf, do not be surprised to hear about actions by Israel to cripple Iran’s nuclear program. Since Iran knows what Nasiri knows, the window of opportunity is short.

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Culture and Religion

Two weeks after Benghazi attack, Ilhan Omar Tweeted ‘Allahu Akbar’

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Two weeks after Benghazi attack Ilhan Omar Tweeted Allahu Akbar

This is old news, of course, but bears repeating at this time. Representative Ilhan Omar has been doing everything she can over the last couple of weeks to paint herself as the victim of bigotry and someone who loves our country. And while there’s definitely some substance to the notion that crowds of Republicans shouldn’t be chanting “send her back,” it’s also understandable why so many Americans are opposed to her presence on Capitol Hill.

Even if we dismiss reports that she married her brother, called for CBP to be eliminated, said this is “not going to be the country of white people,” referred to 9/11 as “some people did something,” and is regularly praised by former KKK leader David Duke, it’s difficult to dismiss her reaction to the Benghazi attacks that took the lives of four American heroes in 2012.

I’m not going to dignify her Tweet with an opinion. She’s the one who needs to explain it. But despite her celebration, life isn’t good for the four men who lost there’s in Benghazi. Remember this, folks, as Democrats embrace her wholeheartedly.

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Foreign Affairs

Iran has seized a British tanker

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Evidence points to Iran seizing British tanker

Update 2: They may have captured a second British tanker.

Update 1: Iran has confirmed it seized the tanker.

Original Story:

A British oil tanker traveling through the Strait of Hormuz to Saudi Arabia has made some strange maneuvers, causing speculation that it has been seized by Iran.

The tanker, Stena Impero, veered off course according to positioning trackers and is now heading towards the Iranian island of Qeshm which has a substantial Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) base. British authorities are seeking answers.

The Islamic republic has threatened retaliation for the British seizure of an Iranian tanker heading towards Syria, which would break an EU sanction. Five Iranian attack vessels confronted a British tanker last week but quickly retreated when the Royal Navy frigate HMS Montrose closed in.

Iran has long claimed sovereignty over the international waters of the Strait of Hormuz. They attempted to stage bombings of two oil tankers last month and four in May in hopes of being able to act as defenders of the Strait, but U.S. video of the second round of bombings caught an Iranian ship removing an unexploded mine from the haul. With that potential bargaining chip off the table, it appears they’re trying to work their way to the negotiating table by force.

A collapsing economy is forcing Iran to make aggressive moves. This is standard operating procedure for the desperate. An international military response may be in order to abate further acts of terrorism by Iran.

This story is developing and will be updated.

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Foreign Affairs

Is war with Iran inevitable?

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Is war with Iran inevitable

Aggressive actions have become commonplace between Iran and the United States over the last two months. The U.S. sent the powerful Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group and a bomber squadron to the region following the defection and intelligence cache delivery by former Iranian Brigadier General Ali Nasiri. Since then, Iran has been bombing tankers, shooting down American drones, and attempting to seize a British Tanker.

Today, the escalation continued as Iran admitted to capturing at least one foreign oil tanker. Then, the United States sent the USS Boxer, loaded with 2000 Marines, into the Persian Gulf where it shot down an Iranian drone that came within 1000 yards of the ship.

Is war inevitable?

No. There is still a very good chance President Trump will not risk reelection by engaging in another unpopular Middle East war. There are those who think Iran will push it too far, and that may be the case, but their goal would be to provoke attack, not war. It behooves them to get hit by the United States so they can play the victim card in the international arena. This is why they’ll poke, prod, annoy, and continue to be aggressive without going so far as to make war warranted.

An attack by the west is the best thing Iran can hope to happen at this point. Their economy is crumbling. Their terror and military proxies are hurting because of the dried up funds no longer coming in from Tehran. They can’t seem to sneak an oil tanker around Africa to Syria, one of the few places willing to disregard U.S. sanctions against Iran. So they’re left with either giving up their nuclear weapons ambitions altogether or provoking a war without being clearly seen as the aggressors.

Even though I do not believe war is inevitable, I don’t see a way to completely avoid military action. Iran won’t stop until they’ve forced an attack against them.

The Middle East has always been a volatile place. With Iran doing everything they can to appear like the victims to the international community while still seeming strong internally, strikes may be inevitable but war is not.

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