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The year was 2015. Hillary was presumed the nominee for the Democrats. Jeb! Bush was presumed the frontrunner in the GOP primary. The low energy candidate had money, media buzz, the myth of electability, and name recognition stemming from his last name not his own accomplishments. All of this pointed, we were told, to swift victory. He was even leading in the meaningless polls. He was the darling of Fox News, the Karl Rove level conservative outlet and the anointed one per the GOP establishment.
The only problem for Bush was: nobody wanted him to be president. But that’s not the worst thing in the world. The goal of a campaign is to convince people to want you. This issue was compounded by the lofty expectations and delusions of grandeur on behalf of the GOP establishment and its cronies. Even without Donald Trump, Jeb! would have gotten shlonged. There were not enough people who would be fooled a third straight time to choose a piss poor candidate out of fear that a genuine conservative, or at least someone campaigning as one, would not be electable.
Joe Biden appears more formidable. He hides behind a thin veil of likability with regards to name recognition. He has great teeth, and his gaffes make him seem down to earth at times ie Dunkin Donuts. He is the candidate that people would want to have a beer with. So how is he worse off than low energy Jeb!? Bush was ignorant to the realities of the situation on the ground, much like Hitler after he adopted his bunker mentality. As a result he was way more confident and conducted himself as though he could hunker down with his base, of thirty percent (my predicted base for him at this time four years ago), and ward off the Conservative challengers hoping they would fail under media blitzkrieg.
This sounds exactly like what Mitt Romney had planned. Bad campaigners think alike. Though I don’t judge Biden to be a good campaigner, Joe Biden is not hiding in the echo bunker of the Democrat Party establishment. It’s clear that his seemingly moderate persona is not going to fly in the “new” Democrat Party. That is why he is leaping so far to the left. He is not setting the tone; that would probably be Elizabeth Warren. Joe Biden realizes he is not in control of the movement. Now it is only a matter of time before the movement realizes how little leverage he wields. Joe Biden has yet to announce, though he has the third best moneyline of the Democrat candidates. He’s calculating how to regain a semblance of control in the intersectionality left, so he’s at very least consulting Stacey Abrams and ridiculously pandering.
But as I said in the moneyline analysis where I referred to the mid-tier candidates as vultures, Joe Biden is their primary target. And the left has sensed weakness. In the age of believe all women, Anita Hill is sure to haunt Biden. Biden is already trying to walk back his previous baggage, while denying the responsibility he had.
There were a bunch of white guys … hearing this testimony in the Senate Judiciary Committee. So when Anita Hill came to testify, she faced a committee that didn’t fully understand what the hell it was all about. And to this day I regret I couldn’t come up with a way to get her the kind of hearing she deserved given the courage she showed by reaching out to us.
There’s sure to be more of these incidents. But for now, the left is not buying his words.
Joe Biden on Anita Hill: "I regret I couldn’t come up with a way to get her the kind of hearing she deserved."
But that was literally his job. Biden chaired the Senate Judiciary Committee during the Hill hearing. pic.twitter.com/hzmPI1eazq
— Adam Best (@adamcbest) March 27, 2019
https://twitter.com/ChloeAngyal/status/1110925267466444802
Joe Biden #Biden2020 ranted that because a pattern of harassment wasn't shown by there being other victims, Anita Hill was not credible. Here's the catch, Biden blocked other women from testifying and therefore showing a pattern. #MeToo pic.twitter.com/zhzhpdgSLk
— Nicole MuenchSeidel (@LoveAutismDogs) March 28, 2019
Safe to say he’s not that popular, and he knows it. But that is the trivial badge he bares. The more serious baggage seems to be Hunter Biden financially benefiting from Joe Biden’s dealings with China and other foreign countries. This is a topic that needs further exploration.
Personally, it’s hard to name the first state Joe Biden will grab a W from without overt rigging from the DNC. Bernie Sanders will likely take Iowa again. Maybe with a split vote, he takes New Hampshire away from Warren, Sanders, or someone else from that region. Kamala Harris, in my view, takes South Carolina, but maybe Biden wins. Nevada? Close to California, could be Harris, otherwise Biden is strong there. Other than Delaware which is not a deciding factor, it hard to call him a favorite to win any of the crucial first states to give his campaign momentum moving forward. Four years ago, Jeb! Bush would have been a clear favorite in New Hampshire and a shaky favorite in Iowa.
It’s ironic because Joe Biden is far more likable and accomplished than Hillary Clinton ever was. Yet he doesn’t command the party base like she did. He doesn’t have a stranglehold on superdelegates or the ability to suicide detractors, but comes with a sleazy amount of corruption that will undoubtedly get unpacked in a general election. The thin veil of likability is fragile, the scandals real or politically correct will pile high.
The vultures circle overhead. Jeb! Bush in his establishment bunker stood more formidably at this stage of the primary than Joe Biden hiding behind his thin veil of likability.
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