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3 reasons I believe the GOP will retain control of the House

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3 reasons I believe the GOP will retain control of the House

Every election year, the final pushes by both parties are designed to get the base juiced up and less-interested voters scared enough to go to the polls. The second part, fear, drove the GOP to victories in 2010, 2014, and 2016, that swayed control of the House, then the Senate, then the White House.

The White House isn’t up for grabs in the midterms and the Senate is looking increasingly secure for Republicans to hold onto a slim majority. The House of Representatives, on the other hand, is loaded with toss-ups. There are currently 192 seats that are considered solid or likely to go to Democrats and 194 seats solid or likely for Republicans. That leaves 49 contested seats, 46 of which are currently held by Republicans.

It’s no wonder most analysts are giving Democrats 70%+ chances of taking over the House. In fact, the certainty that these analysts hold for a majority switch in the lower chamber is nearly as high as the certainty they had in 2016 that Hillary Clinton would be elected President.

We all know how that one worked out.

Because the House is reshuffled every two years, it usually comes down to passion. Anxiety and fear about Obamacare drove voters to give the GOP the House in 2010 and has allowed them to keep it for eight years. Unfortunately for the GOP, that same fear has been turned against them as Democrats and their mainstream media cronies have spun perceptions to make Republicans appear to be the danger when it comes to healthcare. How they convinced Americans that Democrats are the best choice to fix the healthcare system they demolished with the Affordable Care Act is actually quite amazing. If it weren’t so devastatingly damaging to the country, I’d actually give them kudos for such a strong propaganda-driven subterfuge with widespread fruits of their labors.

Democrats have the money. They have the passion; hatred for President Trump is just a bit higher than support for his agenda at this time. Again, the media has played their part in making him the most polarizing President in modern history.

Lastly, Democrats have this final week in which media outlets from the smallest blogs to the biggest news agencies will be nearly unified in their vilification of every vulnerable GOP House candidate they can find. They’ll be painting the Republican as a Trump-inspired right-wing extremist while painting the Democrat as a common sense centrist.

This may all seem grim for Republicans, but there are three factors that can (and in my opinion probably will) deliver the House majority to the GOP for a fifth straight election:

  1. Silent Trump supporters. Love him, hate him, or feel indifference towards him. Regardless of how you feel about Steve Bannon (I don’t care for the guy), you must acknowledge that he knows how elections work. He infamously told then-candidate Trump that he was 100% certain he’d win when ever his closest allies were saying his chances were pretty good while quietly fearing the worst. Bannon recently noted that the polls do not reflect the silent Trump supporters, the growing army of voters who will back him and Republicans every time while never taking a moment to do a silly poll.
  2. Caravan chaos. Despite the most devious machinations of mainstream media, the general feelings towards the invading force of the migrant caravan heading towards our southern border is not pleasant. Attempts to paint them as a group of feeble women and children looking for a better life are easily debunked by looking at pictures of the caravan. Mostly comprised of young, healthy adult males, it is clearly not what leftists want us to believe. Americans see this. They talk. They have their doubts. As it marches forward and grows, it raises the tension level and gets more people to want a wall built. With a Democratic majority in the House, there will be no wall.
  3. Big stories that don’t really hurt Republicans. From Jamal Khashoggi to Cesar Sayoc to Robert Bowers, the news leading up to election day has stories that paint the President in a negative light. Mainstream media loves it. Democrats love it. Somehow, they’re missing one important point. These are not stories that will sway voters. It’s not news that the President says politically incorrect things, nor is it news that he will campaign and attack the press and Democrats even when tragedies strike. Those who take offense to his recent handling of these events weren’t voting Republican either way. Those who support him are equally unswayed. Those on the fence have issues that strike closer to home that will drive them to vote one way or the other.

Anyone who tells you they know how the election is going to go is a fool who probably still can’t believe Hillary lost in 2016. The moral of this story is you shouldn’t listen to anyone. Just vote. Get friends and family to vote. Do your part and pray for the best.

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Democrats

If only one Democrat, mainstream media shill, or Hollywood snowflake admitted they were wrong about Mueller…

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If only one Democrat mainstream media shill or Hollywood snowflake admitted they were wrong about Mu

My nasty, terrible, awful secret is that deep down, I thought Donald Trump Jr. colluded with the Russians. I know what you’re thinking. “How did you fall for the media’s fake news?” As ashamed as I am of this revelation, I figured based on the information being circulated, it made sense that Don Jr. got a tip that could help his father and he likely acted on it.

Following the summary of Robert Mueller’s investigation report that claimed there was no collusion by the Trump campaign, I’m pleased to acknowledge that I was wrong. Of course, I’m not a Democrat, a mainstream media shill, or a Hollywood snowflake. I’m just an innocent conservative who fell for onslaught of “bombshell” reports.

I was wrong and I’m happy about that.

Now, try to find anyone in the opposition party in newsrooms, Hollywood, or the DNC who is willing to admit they were wrong this whole time. Anyone? ANYONE?

Here’s the thing. If there’s one thing that would help heal this nation’s divide, it would be the Democrats coming out and acknowledging they made a huge mistake following faulty reports and wishful thinking that led them to believe in something that simply wasn’t there. Aren’t the Democrats about uniting the nation? Aren’t they the ones always saying the nation’s divided and it needs to be fixed?

I’m one of those people who likes many of the things the President is doing while not liking the way he’s doing it. But I’m also the type of person who can acknowledge when I was misled, and after falling for the witch hunt hoax of the century, I have no problem doing so now.

Therefore, I call on those who helped spread the Russian-Trump collusion narrative to publicly admit they were spreading the rumors from their own echo chamber and turning it into what they would consider to be news. If they can do that, I’ll actually regain a smidgen of respect for them.

It’s hard to admit when you’re wrong. I get it. But the nation is truly divided and the Russian-collusion fake news witch hunt hoax is the primary culprit of the last two years. Grow some integrity and acknowledge your errors, Democrats.

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Conservatism

Faux conservative media ignores GOP lies on abortion

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Faux conservative media ignores Trump and GOP lies on abortion

Even though Republicans have failed the pro-life litmus test ever since the Republican-nominated Supreme Court decided 46 years ago in Roe v. Wade that women have a Constitutional right to murder their unborn child, they are playing the pro-life card once again for political purposes in preparation for the 2020 election.

This was extremely obvious last month when Mitch McConnell held a show vote on the “Born-Alive Abortion Survivors Protection Act,” a bill introduced by Sen. Ben Sasse mandating medical care for babies that survive the abortion procedure attempted murder.

Like the GOP itself during the past two years of full control of Washington, the bill did nothing to bring an end to abortion. It did, however, give Mitch McConnell and the Republicans a nice political talking point to add to their 2020 election arsenal.

“This stunning, stunning extremism” will not “be the last word on the subject.”

By the way, Republicans played this same game in 2018 — an election year — with a House version of the BAASPA that died in the Senate.

I wrote last week about BlazeTV and how it had become a pro-Trump echo chamber and home of faux conservatives. In the piece, I mentioned an episode of Steve Deace’s show where he pointed out the Democrats’ “worship of abortion” and called on conservatives to “cheer” Donald Trump because he was using late-term abortion as a campaign issue.

In a rebuttal on his show the day after my article, Deace and his crew accused me of being in the “orange man bad” anti-Trump cult where criticism of Trump is only happens because we’re talking about Trump. Aside from the obvious attempt to dismiss my opinion without addressing it, my conclusions were based on Trump’s non-conservative policies, his track record of doublemindedness and broken promises regarding abortion, and BlazeTV’s decision to promote Trump as the savior of the Republic.

Yes, the Democrat party is the party of abortion and infanticide. Heck, the party’s 2016 platform championed Planned Parenthood and promised to protect government funding of their infanticide services. The platform also called for Democrats to overturn “all federal and state laws that impede a woman’s access to abortion, including repealing of the Hyde Amendment.”

The Democrat-controlled House has begun working on ways to repeal the Hyde Amendment. Claiming to possess a “pro-choice majority,” they are looking to find new ways for public funds to be used to murder the unborn, including coverage for abortions under Medicaid along with mandating abortion coverage under other government healthcare plans.

Here’s a fun fact: the much-ballyhooed Medicare for All single-payer healthcare plan being promoted by nearly every Democrat presidential candidate and some “conservative socialists” mandates coverage for abortion services. Once we have single-payer, every American will be funding the murder of unborn babies. Look for it to be included in the 2020 Democrat platform.

So, this means Deace was right about the Democrats, right? Yes, but he and others in the faux conservative media have turned this reality into a “squirrel moment” to distract voters away from the hypocrisy and lies we get from Trump — and by default, the GOP — on the abortion issue. Pointing to the obvious extremism of the Democrat Party while giving Trump a pass on abortion and “cheering” him for using it as a political weapon to get re-elected is nothing more than another edition of the #notDemocrat game we get from the GOP every election season.

Democrats haven’t had to worry about keeping their platform promise to protect Planned Parenthood because Trump and the GOP have been keeping that promise for them by not only continuing their funding, but increasing it. They have also increased funding for harvesting body parts from aborted babies for research purposes, included experiments using human fetal tissue on mice — tissue that comes from Planned Parenthood.

Democrats are pro-abortion to the extreme and Republicans are no different. But the GOP gets to hide behind the cover of a so-called conservative media that is all too willing to play the deceptive #notDemocrat game while “cheering” Trump and the GOP for tickling their ears.

Originally posted on StridentConservative.com.

 


David Leach is the owner of The Strident Conservative. His daily radio commentary is distributed by the Salem Radio Network and is heard on stations across America.

Follow the Strident Conservative on Twitter and Facebook.

Subscribe to receive podcasts of radio commentaries: iTunes | Stitcher | Tune In | RSS

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Democrats

Releasing the full Mueller report would destroy the Democratic Party for 2020 if it’s clean

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Releasing the full Mueller report would destroy the Democratic Party for 2020 if its clean

Let’s play the hypothetical game. Now that Attorney General William Barr’s summary of Robert Mueller’s Russian election hacking report has indicated the President and his campaign did not collude with the Russians, the only thing the left can do is hope for a release of the full report. In it, they hope to find evidence that there really was collusion and possibly obstruction of justice, but not enough evidence to indict anyone on it. In the court of public opinion, it may be enough to win the 2020 election.

But what if there’s nothing? What if the Mueller report makes it even more clear than AG Barr’s conclusion that collusion didn’t occur? In that scenario, releasing the report would give the GOP every ounce of ammunition they need to sink the Democratic Party for the foreseeable future.

Imagine all the soundbites and Tweets of Democrats, media shills, and Hollywood activists over the last 22 months declaring with a certainty that the investigation was necessary, that it would yield fruit, and that it wasn’t a witch hunt. Now, imagine a Republican Party that was actually savvy when it comes to winning elections. I know it’s difficult to picture based on RNC’s campaign illiteracy, but try your hardest to picture effectiveness in campaign messaging by the GOP. Such a scenario would put dozens of Democrats across the nation in jeopardy based solely on the gigantic waste of time, energy, and personal investment.

They promised us they were going to take down the President and prove he stole the 2016 election. They banked on the notion that the only reason Hillary Clinton lost is because Donald Trump cheated. They screamed through tears of desperation in trying to protect Mueller because they assumed the President would fire him. When none of those things panned out, they revealed their attempts to rally the people for a righteous cause were actually manifestations of their Trump Derangement Syndrome.

Can you imagine all that? Good. Now, let’s look at the reality of the situation.

If the report is not released soon, it’s very likely there are things in there that the President doesn’t want made public. There would be no other reason to keep it sealed, especially after declaring that it should be released. The shadow of the report is going to grow much bigger than the meat of the report itself. The left is already playing like the Barr summary was just a smokescreen so the administration could keep the report sealed without getting backlash.

On the other hand, holding the report back for a little while could be the 4D chess we always hear about in regards to the President’s campaign strategies. If he can get the left banking even more on the report as their smoking gun before releasing it to reveal a giant nothingburger, it may not just be a few dozen Democrats across the nation in sudden election jeopardy. It could be the end for literally hundreds of them.

Don’t assume if the report gets held from the public for a while that it has something bad in it. If it gets released in a month or two after every Democratic candidate screams for it, then the nothinburger will be a poison pill for their whole party.

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