Maintaining a Senate majority is looking more and more likely, but Republicans in the House are in trouble. Democrats are throwing a threat of repealing Obamacare back in the faces of Republicans who failed to do as promised. Sentiment has shifted and suddenly a majority want to keep Obamacare where it is. It could cost them the House.
For the record, I was against the repeal and replacement plan the GOP put forward because it replaced government-run healthcare with… government-run healthcare. Had they been bold and simply repealed it, then spent real time and energy coming up with solutions for those in the most need, they’d be in much better position today. Instead, we’re stuck with Obamacare and the House is in jeopardy because of it.
Voters are fickle. They were for Obamacare before they were against it before they were for it again. The window of opportunity to repeal and replace it closed and they’re going into the midterm elections without a plan to to take another shot at it next year.
It was the promise to repeal Obamacare that got them the House in 2010, the Senate in 2014, and the White House in 2016. Failing to do what they promised when they had the opportunity is the albatross about their necks right now. The very thing that won for them is quite possibly what will make them lose.
Now, they’re trying a new strategy: hang Bernie Sanders’ $32 trillion universal health care proposal on every Democrats’ neck regardless of whether they support the plan or not. It’s a dishonest ploy with ads running against Democrats who have publicly denounced the plan. If the Republicans aren’t careful, they’re going to get accused of treating the people like fools who won’t do their own research (which is true for most, but it’s still not a play that’s wise to make this close to the election).
As a conservative and a Federalist, I have no horse in these races. If I were forced to choose, I’d vote against Democrats. But I’m not forced to choose (this is still America) so the advice I’m about to give is not out of appreciation for the Republicans’ plight but out of fear of the Democrats being in power.
GOP, stop playing the fear game and put forth a plan
Republicans know the general public no longer wants them to repeal Obamacare. Polls are very clear. So, they’ve decided to take the side of the status quo (keep Obamacare as-is) and push the Democrats further to the left (all embracing Bernie’s plan). This is a bad plan that won’t work, but even if it did work it shouldn’t be done because it’s disingenuous. Leave that line of campaigning to the left. Take the higher road.
Republicans already have the framework for a repeal and replacement plan that would pass IF they get more control of the Senate and retain control of the House. Roll it out. Now. Democrats have already made healthcare one of the defining issues of this election. Double down on them and lay out a plan. Then, let the plan win the elections for you.
Democrats will attack it, but you have something in your favor. You have Lisa Murkowski. I know what everyone’s thinking. She’s the lone traitor who almost cost Brett Kavanaugh his confirmation. That makes her bad, right? Well, yes, but as one who voted against the repeal and replacement plans, it gives her credibility to endorse the new plan that you roll out next week…
…if you were smart and rolled out a plan next week. Which you’re not. So you won’t.
But hypothetically, if you rolled out the Republican Affordable Care Act Phase One Fix, you could start dismantling Obamacare. Perhaps more importantly, you would catch Democrats (and the press) off guard and have nearly four weeks to demonstrate why you’re not the bad guys who will pull the rug out from under people. You’re trying to fix healthcare. That’s potentially a winning message. If you put forth a plan that Murkowski (and possibly a few Democrats) could endorse, it’s a a sure thing.
Instead, you’re probably going to keep doing what you’re doing, accusing moderate Democrats of being far-left Bernie socialists. Yes, some are, but the ads are going after pretty much all of them. You’re relying on the naivety of voters instead of putting forth solutions and educating people on why they’ll work.
By restarting the process to fulfill your promise to repeal and replace Obamacare, the GOP will have the winning narrative. Drop this propaganda push and do what you said you were going to do.