Tennessee breaks up the monotony of most of the Southern states that hopelessly elect RINOs to power. Conservatism has the potential to make gains in Tennessee particularly thanks to vacated seats courtesy of Marsha Blackburn running for Senate and Dianne Black running for Governor. Marsha Blackburn represents a particularly strong possibility of reinforcing outnumbered Conservatives in the Senate. She does, however have a strong Democratic candidate to eventually face in Phil Bredesen. Bredesen has a fairly strong reputation for a Democrat in Tennessee and will likely be a Joe Manchin in the Senate. Marsha Blackburn will have no easy task in keeping the seat red. Of course, all this assumes that both these candidates advance in their party primaries.
Best Picks: Marsha Blackburn, Todd McKinley
Worst Picks: Phil Roe, Chuck Fleischmann, John Rose
Best Race: TNSen, District 2
Worst Race: District 6
On the GOP side, its a battle between Marsha Blackburn and Aaron Petigrew. All signs point to a smooth nomination for the Trump endorse Blackburn. Blackburn represents a shift for Trump. Donald Trump has endorsed RINOs in almost every Senate race he has wielded an endorsement in. See Nebraska, Nevada, Ohio, Utah, Pennsylvania, and Missouri for references. In contrast, in races where a solid Conservative is running, Trump’s endorsement is no where to be found. See West Virginia, Maine, Montana, Virginia, and New Mexico for references. Marsha Blackburn is a step in a Conservative direction for Trump’s campaign. Her record in the House is well above average. She boasts a Liberty Score of 80 with a strong record of fiscal responsibility and a decent one at individual liberties.
Conservative Pick: Marsha Blackburn
Phil Roe is the incumbent. After a decade in DC, he has an F Liberty Score, and all signs of fiscal irresponsibility. His most serious challenger is Todd McKinley. McKinley is a strong conservative, particularly on life, 2nd Amendment, and spending. He is also a decent campaigner in comparison to most other challengers.
Conservative Pick Todd McKinley
This is a good field of candidates. The strongest of which are Jimmy Matlock, Jason Emert, and Tim Burchett. Jimmy Matlock has the support of the House Freedom Caucus. Meanwhile Jason Emert has Ted Cruz’s endorsements. Matlock has a very strong emphasis on fiscal responsibility which separates the Conservatives from the RINOs in the House. Emert ‘s stance on the issues also provides heavy emphasis on Conservative principles. These two candidates would both make decent Congressmen. Matlock is a slightly stronger Candidate with a more likable background. Burchett is the least upfront with regards to issues. But he does have a sense of humor.
You can have my straw when you pry it from my cold dead fingers. pic.twitter.com/XRCryF7w4Q
— Tim Burchett (@timburchett) July 27, 2018
Conservative Pick: Jimmy Matlock
Chuck Fleischmann is a RINO who’s been in for too long. His most serious opponent is Jeremy Massengale who is a decent Conservative by the looks.
Conservative Picks: Jeremy Massengale
Scott DesJarlais is the most Conservative Congressman out of Tennessee. His record is solid.
Conservative Pick: Scott DesJarlais
Jody Ball is the most serious contender. Confidence low on his Conservatism.
Conservative Pick: Jody Ball
This is another seat without an incumbent. The House Freedom Caucus is looking to advance Judd Matheny against the big money candidate in Bob Corlew. Corlew has a life time of service to the state while also boasting a Conservative platform. It appears he is not the villain in this race. That title belongs to the John Rose, an all around political insider for Tennessee politics. He has the backing of prominent local Democrats as well as a weaker record on Conservatism than the other two. Judd Matheny is likely the best candidate, but Bob Corlew might be the be most in position to keep John Rose out.
Conservative Pick: Toss Up
Mark Green is the only Republican in this race.
After one term David Kustoff has proven to be a RINO. David Kustoff advanced in a 13 candidate Republican primary two years ago to capture this West Tennessee seat, winning with only 27 percent of the vote. This primary will test whether Kustoff, has coalesced local Republicans behind him. This race is by no means in the bag for him as it often is for any other incumbents. Unfortunately for the district’s Conservatives, Trump has had this much to say on the race.
Congressman David Kustoff has been a champion for the Trump Agenda – I greatly appreciate his support. David is strong on crime and borders, loves our Military, Vets and Second Amendment. Get out and vote for David on Thursday, August 2nd. He has my full and total Endorsement!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) July 27, 2018
He has two challengers: Dr. George Flynn Jr. and Colleen Owens. Of the two, Owens is by far the more balanced conservative while Flynn is running on the single issue of healthcare, and not even from the most conservative standpoint, as he has mentioned opposition to a full repeal of Obamacare in one sitting.
Conservative Pick: Colleen Owens
Charlotte Bergmann is the only Republican in this race.