Connect with us

Politics

Mike Pence may be needed for Brett Kavanaugh vote

Published

on

Brett Kavanaugh found himself nominated for the Supreme Court during an election year. This is sure to rally the butthurt among Democrats who bemoan the Merrick Garland nomination. This was the case back in 2017 when President Trump nominated Neil Gorsuch to the bench. Only this time, the circumstances are less favorable for Republicans.

Fewer Republicans

Breaking it down, the GOP lost a seat held by Senator Strange to Doug Jones, courtesy of the disaster that was Roy Moore. Jones victory resulted in a -1 for the Republicans and a +1 for the Democrats in this vote. Though, he may be a wild card. Inconveniently, the GOP will be -1 again with the absence of John McCain. McCain, being too ill to perform his duties to the State of Arizona, is selfishly clutching the Senate seat and the crucial vote in a gridlocked Senate. Perhaps the nomination by Trump will result in increased pressure on McCain to resign. This is possible seeing that Brett Kavanaugh was a major insider to the second Bush administration. John McCain could, though unlikely, make the flight just for the vote. Though McCain is an untrustworthy Senator, for Conservatives, the ties to the Bush administration make it more likely he would support the nomination and fly out to do so. Otherwise McCain could retire and the Arizona governor would appoint a temporary replacement.

But assuming there is none of this and present circumstances remain in place, this is a -1 for the GOP. This of course means that there will be 99 votes consisting of 50 Republicans and 49 Democrats (current Independents counted as Democrats). The simple majority favors the Republicans, but that is too simple for politics in DC.

Insert Wildcards

On the Republican side we have multiple wildcards. The least concerning of which is Senator Rand Paul. Rand Paul will raise concerns but is likely to vote in favor of the nomination. So far, he’s had this much to say:

John McCains seat is another GOP wildcard. The most concerning of wildcards may be Senators Lisa Murkowski and Susan Collins, who are among the most leftist Senators in the GOP. Murkowski is most likely to defect. But looking at history, they both voted in favor of the Gorsuch nominations. Similar to the Gorsuch nomination, if Murkowski and Collins had voiced their oppositions, the three Democratic defectors may have stayed with party lines. It’s a tough gamble to expect them to vote nay, but it is possible out of defiance they would not vote.

In confirming Neil Gorsuch, three democrats defected: Joe Manchin of West Virginia, Heidi Heitkamp of North Dakota and Joe Donnelly of Indiana. All three are in red states. All three are facing an election. Manchin’s election prospects are dim as he is facing a very formidable opponent. Heitkamp is also facing an opponent who can win a statewide election. The same cannot be said of Joe Donnelly in Indiana. Doug Jones is perhaps a wild card, if only because he wasn’t around to vote on Gorsuch. But I don’t consider him one in the next roll count.

But to count again, excluding wildcards we are at 48 Republicans, 46 Democrats, 5 Wildcards and 1 Absentee. Again a simple majority bodes well for the GOP, if the five wildcards split nicely. Democrats would need 4/5 of the wildcards to vote no. Upfront, the most likely is Donnelly. But perhaps the others will accept their political demise and vote no anyway. Perhaps they abstain and an even number results in a tie. In which case, Mike Pence will do the honors of casting a vote for Brett Kavanaugh.

For the Kananaugh nomination, expect bitter politics, and don’t be surprised if we wait until January

Advertisement

0

Democrats

Justice Democrats vs. DNC: Group behind AOC looks to shake up the Democratic Party

Published

on

Justice Democrats vs DNC Group behind AOC looks to shake up the Democratic Party

Are they unified or are they at odds? The Justice Democrats and the Establishment Democrats are still at odds despite being temporarily unified by President Trump’s “racist” Tweet recently. It doesn’t matter how much the Establishment Democrats like Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi defends them. They don’t like here and will do everything they can to subvert her power.

But little is known about the Justice Democrats, not because the information isn’t out there but because legacy media refuses to give them much attention. In many ways, they’re worried that if too much attention is given to the radical progressives, it will harm the party as a whole in the upcoming 2020 election. So the media is stuck between a rock and a hard place – supporting the people they like without allowing those people to harm the party they like. It’s a conundrum all Democrats are going to have to face soon as establishment-backed candidates like Joe Biden take on hyper-leftists like Elizabeth Warren.

One America News did a nice job of talking about the Justice Democrats and the direction they’re headed within the party itself. They’re not just after the Republicans. They’re after the Democrats, Independents, and anyone who isn’t a card-carrying social justice warrior.

As in-fighting in the Democrat Party escalates, one organization says that was the plan all along.

With a voting demographic at odds with typical establishment politics, one group is looking to capitalize on the disarray in the Democrat Party. Justice Democrats is a group that looks to promote progressive causes by advocating for change within Congress itself.

It was founded in 2017 by Kyle Kolinsky of Secular Talk and Cenk Uygur of The Young Turks with the goal of redefining the direction of the Democrat Party.

“We’re going to try to save the soul of the Democratic Party by boarding the Democratic Party ship and taking it over,” Uygur said. “How are we gonna do that? We’re gonna run strong progressives so from now on there will be a new wing of the Democratic Party and it will be the Justice Democrats. We will seek social justice, economic justice, racial justice, and plain old justice justice.

Justice Democrats was successful in its first operation, elevating candidates like a Ayanna Pressley, Rashida Tlaib, Ilhan Omar, and Alexandria Ocazio-Cortes to the House of Representatives after the 2018 midterms.

“We’re gonna run hundreds of candidates and we’re gonna primary all the establishment Democrats,” Uygur continued. “So we’re not gonna be like ‘is a Chuck Schumer maybe yes maybe no,’ right? No, it’s a hard no. But wait a minute, now, are you really going to primary vulnerable Democrats. Yeah that’s the whole point.”

The group doesn’t just support candidates, it recruits them, finding individuals that can act as a vessel for its progressive agenda, candidates who don’t only align with the values of the organization but can propel them into Congress.

“Back in 2016 we put out a call for nominations, trying to capture the diversity of background of experience of the American electorate, the people that aren’t currently represented, and we got over 10,000 nominations,” said Justice Democrats Executive Director Alexandra Rojas. “Out of those 10,000 nominations we found Alexandria.”

Much like Representative Ocasio-Cortez, candidates are recruited to run for office with justice Democrats fundraising, organizing, and creating the agenda for the individuals they put on the ballot with the goal of overtaking the party.

“We want to actually create that grassroots funded machine that can be a real opposition to the current institutional powers,” said Saikat Chakrabarti, AOC’s Chief of Staff and co-founder of the Justice Democrats. They’re the group behind the polarizing Green New Deal.

Chakrabarti recently told The Washington Post the green New Deal is not a climate change proposal. The statement corroborates claims made by Rojas, “But really I think a big anchor piece is the Green New Deal and talking about it in a frame of social, racial, and economic justice, and a mobilization of our economy in our society at the scale of what we did during World War II.”

This, of course, has been echoed by Ocasio-Cortez herself.

As dangerous as “The Squad” is, they’re the tip of the Justice Democrats’ iceberg. Perhaps a better way of putting it is they’re the tip of the spear. The Justice Democrats represent the greatest threat to America’s future we’ve seen since the Cold War.

We are currently forming the American Conservative Movement. If you are interested in learning more, we will be sending out information in a few weeks.

American Conservative Movement

Continue Reading

Democrats

Elizabeth Warren’s wealth tax won’t work

Published

on

Elizabeth Warrens wealth tax wont work

There’s a popular sentiment that’s present in many circles across America. The “rich” are the bad guys who plot against the common American to keep us down. In some cases, this is actually true; wealth has been used by many throughout history to buy favors, subvert prosperity for the economic middle- and lower-classes, and steer governments to do things that benefit them while hurting others. But corruption is much less of a driving force for the hatred towards the rich than envy. Few people would take the “moral high road” and turn down opportunities that would allow them to be rich. Just ask Bernie Sanders.

But this envy of the rich is manifesting into something much more dangerous than we’ve seen in the recent past. Senator Elizabeth Warren, a top contender for the Democratic nomination for president, has built her campaign around offering as much free stuff as possible and claiming that she’ll pay for it all through her wealth tax, which she currently proposes as 2% on any household with more than $50 million and 3% on any household worth more than a billion dollars. It’s a yearly tax that is designed to help her get elected. It isn’t designed to work, and either she knows this but hopes the people won’t see it, or she doesn’t realize it and she’s an idiot.

Wealth taxes have never worked. They hamper the ability of actual job-builders to build jobs. They also incentivize the rich to take their money elsewhere, which has a cascading effect on the economy when done in bulk. But perhaps most importantly is that the revenues projected to be generating from them never come to pass.

The saddest part is based on Warren’s own calculations of how much revenue she’ll generate compared to non-partisan estimates of how much her proposals will cost, it isn’t even close. We’re not talking about being off by millions, billions, or even trillions. If she gets her way, we’ll experience a budget shortfall of tens or even hundreds of trillions of dollars over a decade. This isn’t insignificant, but it may be part of the plan.

Who would plan for economic collapse? Someone who wants to install Modern Monetary Theory in America. That’s the only realistic conclusion that one can come to unless we’re to believe she’s a total liar. And that’s possible. She could be so eager to be a one-term president that she’s willing to make promises she knows are impossible to keep. But more likely, she’s going to try to keep those promises by taking us down a path in which we print money to pay our bills, leading to hyperinflation and the total collapse of the United States of America as a viable nation.

If that happens, she’ll have the ultimate form of socialism in which everyone is suffering equally. Well, everyone other than the elite.

This video by Reason breaks down other examples of hour Elizabeth Warren’s proposed wealth tax is either based on ignorance, deceit, or both. Her calculations are off by a few decimal points, but in a post-truth society, Democrats don’t care.

We are currently forming the American Conservative Movement. If you are interested in learning more, we will be sending out information in a few weeks.

American Conservative Movement

Continue Reading

Democrats

Pete Buttigieg’s failure as a mayor should be a warning about his presidency

Published

on

Pete Buttigiegs failure as a mayor should be a warning about his presidency

If Pete Buttigieg can’t handle running South Bend, Indiana, how can he possibly handle running the entire country and being the de facto leader of the free world? That’s the question voters should be asking when they look at the candidates being offered to them through the Democratic field of potential nominees.

But here’s the problem. As badly as Buttigieg has handled his home town, his failures are still small compared to the failures of his competition, especially at the top of the pack. Joe Biden is a joke, a mediocre Senator and worthless Vice President whose only real qualification for the nomination is that his policies are slightly less insane than the other frontrunners.

Bernie Sanders is a communist and a hypocrite, calling for $15 per hour nationwide but failing to pay his own people a living wage. He rails against the rich, then tells people if they write best selling books they can be rich like him. His tune is old and it’s not getting any younger.

Elizabeth Warren is the strangest person to be among the frontrunners because her policies are so radical, one has to question the sanity of those supporting her. She represents an existential threat as she does everything she can to be to the left of radical progressives like Sanders.

As for Kamala Harris, she has the race card. She’s an intersectionality darling who slept her way to the top. And her only positive contributions in politics – being tough on crime in progressive California – are the very things her campaign is running away from at every turn.

Despite winning the 2nd quarter money race, Mayor Pete’s candidacy is one police exodus away from being done.

South Bend cops warn of ‘mass exodus,’ as morale tanks over Buttigieg handling of shooting

“Morale around here has been terrible. We do nothing,” one police officer, a 20-year veteran of the force, told Fox News. “We call ourselves firemen, we sit around in parking lots until we’re called and then we go to the call, because if you say or do something wrong, then you get hung.”

“At an all-time low,” another officer said of morale. “It’s been really demoralizing and hard to come to work lately.”

Officers requested not to be identified for this story in fear of retaliation by the mayor’s administration. But they told Fox News that they know of multiple officers who are considering handing in their badges or taking retirement if eligible, in response to the mayor’s handling of the shooting.

“That’s the big discussion … is who’s staying and who’s going. I think you’re going to see a mass exodus, our administration is a joke,” one officer said.

The only things keeping Mayor Pete from falling apart like Beto O’Rourke is the media still likes him and his city hasn’t completely crumbled. Yet. But if the trends continue, he could be struggling to keep his small town from falling apart.

We are currently forming the American Conservative Movement. If you are interested in learning more, we will be sending out information in a few weeks.

American Conservative Movement

Continue Reading

Facebook

Trending