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Everyone who’s going to weigh in has already done so. I conspicuously have not, mostly because it’s really none of my business. I’m not a Republican or a Democrat, nor am I in Alabama. Control of the Senate obviously has national ramifications, but based upon what we’ve seen this year, the GOP majority hasn’t made much of a difference. We still have Obamacare. Planned Parenthood is still operating on the taxpayer’s dime. Budgets are still out of control.
With all that said, today’s the day when Alabamans choose a new Senator to replace Luther Strange, who was the temporary fill-in for Attorney General Jeff Sessions’ old seat. Under normal circumstances, this wouldn’t even be a story of interest. An Alabama Senate seat will go to the Republican every time… unless that Republican has been accused of multiple instances of sexual misconduct with minors four decades ago.
Roy Moore and Doug Jones face off in a race that’s suddenly very interesting. Depending on the poll you like, either one may win in a landslide. My best guess is that it’ll be close with Moore coming out on top, but considering the circumstances, there’s absolutely no way for anyone to know the outcome until it’s revealed. Pundits, pollsters, and the public are all in the dark on this one regardless of what claims they make about their predictive skills.
One thing is certain: the Republicans will lose in some way regardless of who is elected. If Moore loses, the razor-thin GOP majority is down to 51-49. If Moore wins, the GOP in general and President Trump in particular will be attached to a man many are labeling as a pedophile. Whether that’s a fair characterization depends on one’s opinion of the accusations against him. On that, I also can’t say definitively one way or the other. Some of the accusations seem credible, but Moore’s narrative question is also somewhat compelling: “Where were they for the last four decades while Moore was in positions of power?”
Once we throw into the mix the extremely questionable tactics the Jones campaign has used, his far-left leanings, and his secret Super PAC that came to light the day before the election from none other than left-leaning Politico, it all makes for an interesting day that will be followed by an interesting week or two. I do not envy Alabamans. As a state, they’ve been very conservative and tend to vote with their conscience. In this case, it’s their conscience that poses the biggest dilemma. Which tugging of the conscience will win out? Will the desire to keep a liberal out of Senate supersede their desire to keep a potentially immoral man from the seat?
Now’s probably the wrong time to point out that if it weren’t for the 17th Amendment, none of this would even be an issue. Chances are neither of them would be under consideration if the legislature were making their choice today. We’d have Senators who were more representative of the will of the people and the best interests of the state. Local legislative elections would have much more importance. Activism at the state level would improve, taking the emphasis away from national efforts that redirect resources where they don’t belong. Super PACs would have less sway. Term limits could be easily… oh, wait, this isn’t an article about the 17th Amendment. It’s still in play and we’re still in this mess.
This comes down to who Alabama wants to represent them on Capitol Hill. The swing vote is much bigger in his race than any in recent history for such an important election because of the Moore situation. Which way will they swing? We’ll know at the end of the day.
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