This article is a thought exercise on the outcome of both the Democrats and Republican Parties failing. It’s completely hypothetical, but if it comes true, you heard it first here on NOQReport.
Under Obama, the Democrats had a strong sense of unity from which they could look down, scoffing at Republicans. He moved the party left, made a strategic deal with Party Boss Hillary Clinton, and won big in 2008. These were high times for Democrats. Their unity, however, came at a price. A moderate setback occurred in 2010, but the toll was hardly enacted until 2014 and became steeper in 2016 after losing several projected-to-win elections. The Democrats are shaking. Barack Obama handed over the party reins back to Party Boss Hillary and she blew it. The previous high times for Democrats have now become a deep trough. The blame for these hard times is a debate which further divides them.
GOP still fractured
The Republican Civil War has long been written about and still continues. Before, it was Big Government Republicans known as the Establishment vs Conservatives. But now Trump is the Establishment and Bannon is the Party Boss, Big Government GOP opposes him, and Conservatives are weighing in on the infighting. The GOP Civil War is a threeway. Both the Establishment and Conservatives are seeking to root out the BG GOP. However true victories are few right now for Conservative. Much of the races are Pro-Trump vs Anti-Trump, but the Conservatives won bigly in Alabama with Roy Moore defeating the Establishment.
Trump holds Establishment together
Trump bears many similarities to Obama. Without him, the Establishment is in bad hands. Trump’s core principle, yes he has one, is loyalty. Trump is loyal to those whom are loyal to him. For instance, Luther Strange’s loyalty to Trump earned him an endorsement. Trump has hardly been outspoken against Mitch McConnell because McConnell has distanced himself from the Big Government Republicans like John McCain in order to keep his footing as Senate Majority Leader. So what happens when Trump is gone?
Say he doesn’t run for reelection… or worse, loses? With Trump stepping out of the spotlight, the Wall is now Bannon’s. Mitch McConnell is not afraid of Steve Bannon. In fact, McConnell likely enjoys the opportunity to defeat him. The Big Government GOP knows how to fend off the scrub candidates they find to challenge them. Many of the previous Establishment Republicans who bent the knee will likely revert back to the BG GOP. Bannon will soon learn that he needs Trump more than Trump needs him. Things would go back to the way they were.
Enter Democrat Civil War
The Democrat Civil War is a game changer for Conservatives and BG GOP in their own Civil War. Some Democrats are rebelling against Hillary for the 2016 while others are remaining loyal to their Party Boss. Meanwhile the Democrats face a massive identity crisis. Democrats are inching leftward everyday. Hillary Clinton was left of center but in all likelihood only appears as liberal as we think of her. She’s a Party Boss not an Ideological Champion like Bernie Sanders, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul ect. The Democrats move towards socialism and in their trek they are shedding Pro-Life Democrats, Pro-Gun Democrats and basically making it harder for Dems to win in Red States or rural areas. In moving towards socialism, the Democrats have largely tainted their brand among the grassroots. It’s odd Democrats would embrace Antifa but not a pro-lifer. This only serves to lessen its members and go on life support in many states.
New alliances
Big Government Republicans will find fewer victories as dissatisfaction continues. Conservatives will have a tough time navigating the Republican brand long tainted by the BG GOP. They rise under a new brand with an emphasis on small government by the name of Federalists. The Federalist Party seeks to rise from the grassroots. The pro-life Democrats will join the Federalist Party under the banner of a smaller government. The Establishment, without Trump, won’t be able to stand on its own. While Bannon will resist the inevitable, much of his faction will join the Federalist Party in order to win.
Three Parties, Two Party System
The fall of the two parties will leave four groups: the Socialists, the Federalists, the BG GOP, and the left of center Democrats. The latter two will combine on the principles of a larger government. I’m going to call them the Whigs after a third party faction called the Modern Whigs. This exact party will likely never have its day. But its movement will be captured by John McCain and Lindsey Graham having a nice long hug with Tim Kaine and friends. So we will be left with the Federalists, the Whigs, and the Socialists.
Unfortunately for the Socialists, the Colin Kaepernick types refuse to vote, and the Antifa types commit felonies rendering themselves ineligible. On top of that, their views have a history of failure due to their faithful implementation and drove the split of the Democrats. This will weaken the Socialists to a third party perhaps but out of the mainstream of the two party system for certain. Say hello to the Libertarian Party -2.0. The political battle will emerge between the Federalist Party and the Whigs.
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