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Nothing makes me gladder than to hear that President Trump finally will decertify the Iran deal. It was one of his prime campaign promises, and honestly I expected it would have been done six months ago. But late is better than never.
Iran is not keeping the deal, Russia is shielding them from inspections, and there’s no way to verify that they haven’t been developing nuclear weapons technology. If that’s not a good enough reason to kill the whole thing, I don’t know what is. What we do know is that sanctions work. President Obama handed Iran $100 billion. It’s time to cinch their belts again, before they launch a nuke at Tel Aviv.
Don’t think that’s not Iran’s purpose here. It is. They’ve said so. We should believe them.
Not everyone agrees. But a lot of respected politicians didn’t believe a certain leader wouldn’t start a shooting war with Western European powers and Russia at the same time. They were wrong too.
Perspectives
Trump to decertify Iran nuclear deal – American Politics – Jerusalem Post
WASHINGTON — US President Donald Trump plans to declare next week that the Iran nuclear deal is not in the national security interests of the United States–a move that will spark a 60-day congressional review process that will decide the fate of the accord, US officials disclosed on Thursday. The White House press secretary said on Thursday that Trump would lay out a “comprehensive strategy” on Iran, supported by his national security team, over the coming days.
Report: Trump plans to decertify Iran deal – Axios
What it means: The deal has eased Iran off sanctions in exchange for a rolled-back nuclear program, so this could set the U.S. on a path to sanction Iran and amp up tensions between Tehran and D.C. And Tehran has said it could start up its nuclear program within days, raising a potential additional nuclear problem for Trump in addition to North Korea. Ultimately, the decision would be kicked to Congress.
The United States is not on the same page with allies on Iran – The Washington Post
The notion that we could certify and just threaten to leave strikes us a risky replay of President Obama’s red line. (If Iran calls our bluff do we retreat or exit without the support of our diplomatic allies?) Right now it would seem exiting the deal — or worse, threatening to exit without the ability to do so — seems less feasible than it did at the time of the last certification, which Trump did grudgingly. Tillerson and our allies openly acknowledge Iran is abiding by the deal, giving Iran the upper hand diplomatically.
Here’s why Trump shouldn’t decertify the Iran deal (at least not yet)
According to a Thursday report, Trump plans to decertify the Iran deal on Oct. 15. It might become necessary within the next year, but President Trump should not decertify the Iran nuclear deal just yet. First off, that action would give the U.S. a very short diplomatic window with which to reform the deal.
Reactions
.@SenTomCotton has clear understanding of the Iranian regime & flaws in the nuclear deal.His speech is worth reading https://t.co/eAw1Yoya2h
— Archive: Ambassador Nikki Haley (@AmbNikkiHaley) October 4, 2017
I would urge @POTUS to get out of the #IranDeal completely; the deal is not hindering #Iran’s pursuit of nuclear weapons.
— John Bolton (@AmbJohnBolton) October 5, 2017
.@RepAdamSchiff: The pres. has made it very clear he would like to find Iran non-compliant with the nuclear deal.
— Andrea Mitchell (@mitchellreports) October 5, 2017
Iran nuclear deal has been a disaster. Time for the United States to decertify and withdraw.
— Nile Gardiner (@NileGardiner) October 5, 2017
Isn’t it curious that North Korea’s missile/nuclear tests have accelerated rapidly since we agreed to the Iran deal? https://t.co/sNVGWKDvcQ pic.twitter.com/mLu3m41NWD
— Nick Short ?? (@PoliticalShort) October 4, 2017
Final Thoughts
Every time this comes up, the same arguments against it emerge. “It’s not enough time to react”: Trump certified the deal twice, against his own internal guidance, so that there’d be enough time to work out a plan of what to do next. Everyone has seen this coming for months. The “time” argument is threadbare.
“This will lead to Iran getting nukes.” And having the deal with Iran cheating, and getting full benefit of all trade and financial markets without sanctions isn’t leading there? This is a faulty argument based on trusting Iran. We should not trust Iran. We should have never trusted Iran, but President Obama wanted this deal for other reasons. He wanted to shift the geopolitical balance in the Middle East away from Israel and toward Iran. The “nuke” argument is inherently anti-Israel.
This issue is near and dear to my heart, as well as to Israel’s. Iran must be stopped, and trusting them to keep a deal they’ve obviously had no intention of keeping is simply bad policy (at best) and a subtext to put Israel in a precarious position.
Ending the Iran deal could not have come too soon.
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