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There’s a very disheartening reality in Washington DC that nobody wants to talk about. Many Republican lawmakers, perhaps most on Capitol Hill today, would be willing to trade full-blown, unconditional amnesty to non-criminal illegal immigrants. The left won’t talk about it because they want to keep the Republicans firmly planted as the opposition to such a move, therefore keeping supporters of those who would benefit from amnesty firmly in the Democratic Party’s pockets. The right won’t talk about it because they don’t want their rabid base to know they’re ready to cave.
Unfortunately, they’re definitely ready to cave. We know this based upon their recent actions and, perhaps most importantly, their unwillingness to discuss it as a negative. The recent actions I’m referring to isn’t just the absolute meltdown of a “negotiated” deal with the Democrats that yielded the border budget debacle last week. It’s also their willingness to trade with Dreamers and visa overstays, two things they were adamantly opposed to before the 2016 election.
We also know that President Trump had a “softening” moment during the 2016 election season when he seemed to buckle under pressure and test the waters. He explicitly said no to amnesty or citizenship, but staying here legally seemed to be on the table. Here are his words from August, 2016.
“No citizenship,” he said to Fox News host Sean Hannity. “Let me go a step further — they’ll pay back taxes, they have to pay taxes, there’s no amnesty, as such, there’s no amnesty, but we work with them.”
To “work with them” was assumed to be a way to allow millions of illegal immigrants to stay in the country legally. It’s amnesty, no matter what fancy legal words you throw out there to cover that fact up. But what about criminal illegal immigrants?
“Now, everybody agrees we get the bad ones out,” he continued. “But when I go through and I meet thousands and thousands of people on this subject, and I’ve had very strong people come up to me, really great, great people come up to me, and they’ve said, ‘Mr. Trump, I love you, but to take a person who’s been here for 15 or 20 years and throw them and their family out, it’s so tough, Mr. Trump.’ I have it all the time! It’s a very, very hard thing.”
This “softening” seems to have been erased from most memories for the same reasons listed above. The left wants the market cornered on helping illegal immigrants and the right isn’t ready to abandon their base.
Except they already have.
As noted earlier, the lack of discussions in public forums about the Democrats’ desire to document those currently in the country illegally is arguably the most telling sign that the GOP is preparing something big. With the wall going through legal limbo due to the national emergency declaration, it’s easy to imagine a scenario when Trump goes to the power-brokers on Capitol Hill and says, “Let’s legalize everyone who’s already here in exchange for full funding on border security.”
These power-brokers would be the obvious crowd – Senators Chuck Schumer and Mitch McConnell, Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi, and House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy. They’ll also likely invite a few other players to the table to either help sell it to the rest of Capitol Hill or to voice their concerns up front before it goes public. Expect House Freedom Caucus chair Mark Meadows, Senators Marco Rubio and Rand Paul, and possibly a token Democrat to feign balance.
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The only thing preventing this from happening now in public (it may already be happening in private) is spin. Both sides need a way to spin this in their direction. The President would obviously try to use this to win reelection. Democrats will position it as fodder for their base to give them back control of the Senate while giving a leg-up to the Democratic nominee for President.
But it’s the Republicans who will see the biggest upside. If they can convince their base that the wall is important enough to trade for with the one thing most conservative Republicans do not want, they have a chance to make it all work. They’ll remind them that President Reagan granted amnesty without a border security deal in place. They’ll note that obstruction from both the Democrats and the courts are making it harder and harder to enforce immigration laws. They’ll say that the Democrats wanted the legalization extended to criminal illegal immigrants, but that was a red line the GOP wasn’t willing to cross.
They’ll spin, spin, and spin again.
This is the only scenario that makes sense in light of the border budget deal. The trade-offs the Republicans made in order to get a very restrictive measure to start 55-miles of wall were way too high unless they’ve been planning the amnesty pitch for a while. In that scenario, the trade-offs were worth it because they’ll soon be moot.
This isn’t in the public conscious yet, but when it gets there (which may be very soon) it’s imperative for conservatives to reach out to their representatives and say, “—- no!” We’re being played, but that doesn’t mean we can’t play back harder.
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