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How many caravans does it take to lose an election?

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How many caravans does it take to lose an election

The caravan of migrants from Central America will either be the last of its kind for a while or it will become a trend as people emboldened by “safety in numbers” excitedly wait for the next trek to start. Whether it’s the first or the last will depend a great deal on the midterm elections.

It will also depend on how reactions to the caravan are perceived by those who are behind it.

What do the elections in the United States have to do with asylum-seekers and others wanting to walk thousands of miles in large groups? Everything. You see, this caravan wasn’t sparked by a spontaneous desire to leave. Hundreds of thousands, possibly more, would leave the dangers and turmoil of Honduras, Guatemala, and El Salvador if they thought they had a realistic chance of acceptance into the United States. The caravan was orchestrated by forces in and out of Honduras. The forces on the inside were told they’d get help. The forces on the outside who have delivered help wanted to make a statement and have an impact on the United States elections.

I started exploring this possibility because of the timing. The caravan is anticipated to arrive at the border around election day.

Yes, this is a conspiracy theory. I rarely post these theories because there is no shortage of them and I’m not nearly as imaginative as the professional conspiracy theorists. To me, the world is not flat, Elvis is not alive, and we actually did land on the moon. I’d never make it at InfoWars.

If one looks at the timing of this event, mainstream media coverage, and reactions from Washington DC, it’s easy to acknowledge the possibility that organizers were working with external forces behind the scenes to put the caravan together and march it towards the border during the home stretch of the midterm elections. Let’s look at those three components and flesh out what it all means.

Timing

As I stated before, it’s way too convenient for a “spontaneous” event such as this to coincide so perfectly with our midterm elections. We’re in the middle of hurricane season and Willa is about to hit Mexico. Did the organizers of the caravan not realize there may be a safer time for thousands of people to walk thousands of mile? Of course they knew. They are well aware of the weather patterns in Central America and Mexico.

They chose now knowing they’d have to battle the weather.

Something prompted them to pick this time over others. It wasn’t an uptick in violence; last year saw the lowest homicide rate in Honduras in over a decade. Mainstream media points specifically to San Pedro Sula where elements of the caravan originated as being “the most dangerous city on Earth,” but that’s no longer true. In fact, their homicide rates are lower than St. Louis or Baltimore.

Were they prompted by poverty? For most of the migrants other than the organizers, the answer to that question is yes. The vast majority of those who joined the caravan did so because they are extremely poor and have no prospects for improving their lives in Central America. But they’ve been poor for decades and have never formed a mass of people such as this one, so it’s not a valid argument for the timing. If they’d waited a couple of months they’d be travelling in very mild temperatures with no risk of facing hurricanes.

Whoever organized this, they did so with this very exact timing in mind.

Mainstream Media Coverage

In all my years of being a watchdog of the mainstream media, I have never seen the level of sympathetic coverage that I’ve seen with this caravan. Journalists are trained to report the facts, find the interesting angles, and seek the underlying truth behind an event. We haven’t seen that at all in mainstream media this time. Nothing.

The “facts” they’ve reported have been minimal. It’s just repetition of the same storyline over and over again. Even as a critic of mainstream media I found this extremely odd.

There should be no shortage of interesting angles to report, but again the absence is striking. Reporters are trained to ask questions and find people with stories that will intrigue us. When there’s a crowd, they’re trained to find people who stand out. Most importantly, they’re supposed to find the counter-narrative. A gang member who sees greater opportunity in America. An American activist walking in solidarity with the group in their plight. A local politician there to make sure everything goes smoothly for his people.

These and other interesting angles definitely exist within the caravan and journalists are trained to find them. Yet we’re seeing nothing like that. Every interview is with a persecuted by hopeful migrant who’s just looking for the American dream. This narrative is repeated over and over again.

Either mainstream media sent their worst reporters to cover the caravan or there’s an agenda in play.

Reactions from DC

When the caravan launched, Democrats were quick to embrace the “humanitarian crisis” that was driving people to walk such a great distance. We heard them say this was the embodiment of their desperation, that these people have no other choice, and that America can and should do more to help people in such great need.

Then, two strange things happened. First, Republicans generally didn’t take the bait. They didn’t need to because of the second strange thing that happened: Americans generally didn’t take the bait, either. It was clear based on the sudden silence from Democrats that they expected to hear a lot more voices on social media welcoming the caravan, empathizing with their plight, and denouncing any proposed actions by the President. For a very short time after President Trump threatened to send the military to the border, many Democrats called him out.

It didn’t last long. Americans weren’t nearly as upset as Democrats expected when hearing about the prospects that President Trump would use the military to close the border. Sure, the leftist base was outraged, but most Republicans were happy about it. As were most Independents.

As were many moderate Democrats.

The leftist vision of open borders isn’t quite as popular with Americans as Democrats had hoped.

If Democrats win the House and/or the Senate, this will be the first of multiple caravans attempting to breach our borders. If Democrats lose both, leftists will rethink their strategy and this will be the last caravan for a long time.

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Democrats

16 states hit 9th Circuit to sue President Trump, as expected

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16 states hit 9th Circuit to sue President Trump as expected

It was one of the most replayed parts of President Trump’s announcement regarding his national emergency declaration last Friday – a sing-song moment as the President predicted the declaration would be made, Democrats would sue, they’d go through the 9th circuit, and their decision will hopefully be overturned by the Supreme Court. So far, he’s been absolutely correct as 16 states have filed against the declaration.

New York, California, 14 other states sue Trump in Ninth Circuit over emergency declaration

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/new-york-california-sue-trump-in-ninth-circuit-over-emergency-declarationThe attorneys general of California, New York, and 14 other states on Monday filed a lawsuit in the Ninth Circuit against the White House’s recent national emergency declaration over border security, claiming President Trump has “veered the country toward a constitutional crisis of his own making.”

President Trump sarcastically had predicted the lawsuit last week. He’s slammed the Ninth Circuit multiple times as “disgraceful” and politically biased.

My Take

This is their right, and while it may annoy those who support building the border wall, it would be a mistake to condemn these states for trying to stop it. This is part of the way our nation is intended to operate. If one or more states feel the need to challenge the authority of Washington DC, they should be able to make their case before the courts. If the courts make decisions based on the Constitution, then the end result will be the accurate and righteous one.

That’s how this was all intended.

I’m not suggesting the 9th Circuit is going to treat this fairly, nor am I confident the Supreme Court will make its decision solely on the Constitution, but until things are changed, this is what we’ve got. Attempts to subvert any component of this system from the President’s right to declare the emergency to the states’ rights to challenge it to the courts’ responsibility to make a ruling about it all would be to denounce the foundation upon which this nation was built.

There was a way this could have been avoided. Had the President and the GOP decided to have the debate over the wall while they had power over the House, Senate, and White House, they would have been in better position to get the wall going by now. Unfortunately, they an improper political calculation to hold off on the wall debate until after the midterm elections, and now it’s costing the American citizens. It costs us money to sit here through the shutdown and the legal battle over the national emergency declaration. It’s costing us time; the wall should be much further along by now. It may end up costing us the wall altogether if they aren’t able to make a strong case before the Supreme Court.

We are in the midst of a crisis at the border, one that has been going on for decades. Let’s not exacerbate the crisis by adding a Constitutional crisis on top. This needs to play all the way out.

 


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Democrats

Dershowitz reacts to the backlash over Trump’s national emergency

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Dershowitz reacts to the backlash over Trumps national emergency

Lukewarm leftist Alan Dershowitz is against the use of a national emergency to fund the border wall, but he believes it will come down to whether or not the courts decide this is a real emergency or not. Could it be stopped altogether? Dershowitz, a lawyer, doesn’t believe that will be the case. Instead, he thinks the courts will hold up some of the expenditures, but it’s very possible portions of the wall will be built between now and the 2020 elections.

He also made an important point about Chief Justice John Roberts. Though the Supreme Court is currently considered to be “right-leaning” by most experts, Roberts has been willing to side with the left on more than one occasion since President Trump took office. This is a concern for wall proponents since the other eight Justices are likely split down the middle on maintaining the President’s power to go down this path.

My Take

As we’ve stated in the past, a national emergency is not the best way to build the wall. Some may argue it was necessary to go around Congress since they were clearly unwilling to play ball when it came to wall funding, but would it have been better for the President to stick to his guns and shut the government down for a second time? At this point, nobody can know because that’s not the course of action he took.

It’s a shame we’re having to watch the battle ramp up on the legal end when the need for the wall is so clear. Congress didn’t do its job when the Republicans were in control and they’re not doing their job with Democrats controlling the House.

 


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Immigration

Blue Collar Logic: Why did the President sign the border deal?

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Blue Collar Logic Why did the President sign the border deal

Many conservatives have been scratching their head since hearing the details of the border deal the President signed last Friday in order to keep the government from another partial shutdown. The provisions in the omnibus have been a consternation that doesn’t make any sense on the surface. If we dig deeper, does it start to make more sense?

The short answer is, no. The justification for signing it is that the President doesn’t want to wait for another drawn out battle with Congress that likely won’t yield money for the wall, so he retreated to signing this bill and pushing for his national emergency declaration to get that particular ball rolling. Unfortunately, that means there are two major consequences Americans now have to face. First, we get the provisions of the bill itself, many of which actually work against the idea of securing the border. There are now even more incentives for illegal immigrants and criminals to come to the border with children in tow so they can get what essentially amounts to amnesty. It doesn’t matter if they’re here for a better job or if they’re coming to join MS-13. If they have kids (even if they’re not THEIR kids), they get a pass.

The second consequence is that the wall is going to be stuck in red tape for a long time, perhaps indefinitely. There’s no guarantee the wall will ever get built. It’s no longer in the hands of duly elected representatives of the people. It’s in the hands of bureaucrats and judges who must decide whether or not the President even has the power to declare this national emergency in the first place.

The folks at Blue Collar Logic broke down the justification. They believe the President was forced into a political move that will allow border security to be a primary issue of the 2020 election. Shutting down the government again would have hurt him, so this cave on the border bill and national emergency was the best chance he had at having a winning message for his reelection bid.

Even die-hard fans of the President have to see this as a betrayal on some level. He was elected to make the borders safer and so far, the exact opposite has happened. It’s sad that the guy who was going to drain the swamp is drowning in swamp as we speak.

 


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