Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the Supreme Court is looking less and less likely to ever make it to a vote on the Senate floor because of memories from two drunk teen girls over three decades ago and not a shred of proof otherwise. The bar has been set, at least for Republicans.
That bar is, of course, very different for Democrats like Keith Ellison. Mainstream media and a majority of Democrats are all about “believe the women” accusing Kavanaugh without anything backing up their claims, but extremely credible accusations against Democrats like Keith Ellison are to be dismissed as lies.
That’s the state of affairs in American politics. Last minute accusations can take down a Republican politician or someone nominated by a Republican President.
It should be noted that I’m not a Republican. I’ve found the actions of the GOP to be pitiful considering the amount of control they finally wield. If the situation were reversed and they were using these tactics against Democrats, I’d rail against them just the same. It’s important that anyone reading this understands that I’m not an apologist for the GOP. I’m an apologist for the truth.
With that understood, here’s where we stand. The GOP is stuck between the proverbial rock and hard place. Things were looking bad for Kavanaugh with the first accusation. The court of public opinion was leaning away from his confirmation at that point and is certainly going to take a dive with the newest accusation. Republicans must stay consistent and battle for him even as the Democrats’ narrative shifts a little.
We will go from hearing Democrats calling for FBI investigations and hearing out the accuser to an attempt to establish a behavioral trend. Two is all it takes to establish a “trend” that mainstream media will lock onto at the unofficial request of the Democrats, so this new narrative changes their calculus.
Republicans are stuck preaching the same narrative they were before, that this is all a big trick by the Democrats to stall and potentially derail Kavanaugh’s confirmation. The ground just got more slippery for them, but changing stances at this point will jeopardize the Kavanaugh confirmation even further. They have their story and they must stick to it.
Here’s their bigger problem. By backing Kavanaugh, they’re feeding Democrats all the fodder they need to juice up their base. Female voters in particular will be the targets of their messaging. A higher percentage of female voters came to the polls following the Anita Hill testimony against Clarence Thomas than during Hillary Clinton’s presidential run. Democrats will bank on a repeat of 1992.
Republicans are down to two choices. They could either back Kavanaugh and likely lose a few close midterm races as a result or the could dump Kavanaugh and hope to retain power for confirmation of the next nominee.
Neither choice is good for Republicans.
This new precedent of accuse and derail is very dangerous for all of us regardless of who is getting accused. Kavanaugh’s future is in doubt, which unfortunately means the same is true for American politics.
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