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Congressman Darrell Issa is out, Diane Harkey is in

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News broke earlier today and then followed up by an official statement by Congressman Darrell Issa, that he will not be seeking re-election in 2018. Issa was first elected to Congress in 2001. He has won re-election easily for most of his years in Congress. With re-districting and changes in demographics, his seat has become one of the most vulnerable seats in Congress.

He barely won re-election in 2016. He only won re-election because his district after re-districting incorporated parts of South Orange County, a wealthy Republican stronghold.

Orange County is the last vestige of Republican control in a large population center in California, and some believe that Orange County will soon turn blue.

In 2016, Orange County voted Democrat for the first time since the Great Depression.

Many see this as a move the Orange County could be going blue especially since Issa’s announcement comes on the heels of another Republican Congressman, Ed Royce, from Orange County announcing he will not seek re-election.

Analysis

There is no doubt in my mind that Democrats are energized to go after Trump. Orange County did go for Hillary in 2016 but Orange County Republican Congress members, for the most part, won pretty easily in 2016.

Orange County Republicans did vote for Trump overwhelmingly in the 2016 primary because for the most part; the election was over. All the candidates, including the last two, Cruz and Kasich were out.  Yet, Cruz and Kasich were still on the ballot. Who received more votes between them? It was Kasich, not Cruz.

Orange County Republicans are more traditional business/establishment, middle of the road Republicans. Cruz brand of Republicanism wasn’t as popular in this area as it was in other parts of the country. Where Kasich’s brand of Republicanism wasn’t very popular among Republicans throughout the country.

Republicanism in Orange County is more moderate and more focused on economic instead of cultural and social issues.

So has Orange County turned more blue. Yes, primarily in North Orange County but South Orange County is still a strong Republican stronghold.

So the question is, will Trump bring down Republicans that should have won re-election because voters don’t feel energized to come out and vote especially those Republicans that see the GOP tax plan, which limited SALT deductions, as a tax increase on them simply because they live in high-taxed California.

Prediction

So will Trump bring down Republicans in Republican-controlled areas of Orange County? I’m not sure it is to early to tell but with Issa not running for re-election, it might be a much harder task for Republicans to hold onto the seat.

The already declared Republican candidate seeking to replace Issa is Diane Harkey. She is the highest elected Republican in the State. She represents all of Issa’s district and much more as the Chair of the Board of Equalization. She currently represents approximately 9.5 million people in Imperial, Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino, and San Diego County.


EXCLUSIVE: Republican Diane Harkey to Run for Darrell Issa’s Seat – Breitbart

http://www.breitbart.com/california/2018/01/10/exclusive-diane-harkey-running-for-darrell-issas-congressional-seat/Breitbart News can confirm that House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) called Harkey on Wednesday to discuss her running for the seat. A source told Breitbart News that Harkey has the support of McCarthy and the support of outgoing Congressman Issa.


 

If she makes it to the general election, which I anticipate that she will, she might be the only candidate capable of keeping the seat in GOP hands.


Konstantinos Roditis is an Orange County resident and the Republican candidate for California State Controller. You can learn more about his campaign at cacontroller.com, and you can follow him on Twitter & Facebook as well.

Mr. Roditis a candidate for California State Controller. He is an entrepreneur and owns several companies. He graduated from UCSD with a B.A. in Political Science/International Relations. He's a former City Commissioner with the City of Anaheim, CA. He's a Conservative Constitutional Federalist. Follow him on Twitter @KonRoditis

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Democrats

Republicans can avert a shutdown if they turn the narrative

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Republicans can avert a shutdown if they turn the narrative

Democrats are giving every reason they can muster to push a government shutdown. The primary tool is DACA. If the government shuts down, it will be because they’re convinced the GOP will get the blame for it. If sentiment turns and the Democrats get fingered for prompting the shutdown, they won’t let it happen.

There are several dynamic situations involved with the shutdown. DACA is only a small part of it. They’re trying to position this as a win-win for them and the Republicans seem to be unable to get the right message out about the shutdown. This isn’t new for them. If the GOP initiates the shutdown as they did during the Obama era, it’s their fault. If they can’t stop the Democrats from initiating a shutdown as is the situation today, it’s their fault as well.

Mainstream media’s desire to promote the Democrats’ message is a big part of the reason the GOP always takes the blame, but it’s not an insurmountable advantage. They need to paint the situation in its proper colors. The GOP has the truth on their side, so they need to say it. Instead, they seem to be cowering as usual:

Nervous Republicans fear they’ll pay if government shuts down

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/nervous-republicans-fear-they-ll-pay-government-shutdown-n838276WASHINGTON — President Donald Trump is confident that Democrats will take the blame if the government shuts down this weekend or Congress fails to find a fix to prevent DACA recipients from being deported. But Republicans on Capitol Hill aren’t so sure.

Many of them fear that voters will fault the GOP after looking at Trump’s decision to end the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program, his past flirtation with letting federal funding expire and the fact that Republicans are in control of the White House, the Senate and the House.

First, they need to attack DACA by framing it as what it is. The President has done his part in saying he wants to protect Dreamers but wants a wall to keep more of them from coming in. That’s a reasonable trade-off in the eyes of most voters.

Second, the GOP needs to unify with the message that they’re going to protect Dreamers the right way through standalone legislative action. Executive orders can’t cut it. Attaching it to other bills isn’t right. They want a DACA plan in place and they can do it if the Democrats would focus on helping Dreamers rather than trying to be the ones who get the credit for it.

Third, they need to declare the Democrats are hurting Americans through a shutdown for the sake of getting credit for helping Dreamers. It’s not just  that they’re putting illegal immigrants over American citizens which is bad enough. They’re doing so in order to get credit from voters. That’s it. That’s the whole reason for the shutdown. They can’t imagine a situation in which the GOP puts forth Dreamer-protecting legislation and a Republican President signs it into law unless it’s the Democrats who somehow force the situation. Otherwise, they might be revealed as the charlatans they are.

If Republican leadership gets everyone on board and pushes out these three simple messages with everything they’ve got, they have a chance of both averting a shutdown and making the Democrats look foolish for threatening it. If they continue down the lukewarm road they’re on, there will be a shutdown and they’ll get the blame for it whether they deserve it or not.

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Politics

Trey Gowdy isn’t happy with Steve Bannon

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Trey Gowdy isnt happy with Steve Bannon

Representative Trey Gowdy went after former White House adviser Steve Bannon on Fox News after the disgraced former chief at Breitbart failed to answer questions.

Bannon, who answered questions for reporters and had quotes posted in an anti-Trump book called Fire and Fury, refused to ask questions of congressional investigators. Gowdy lashed out:

“I am frustrated whenever people assert privileges that do not exist.”

Source: Washington Examiner

Trey Gowdy slams Steve Bannon for helping people write books, but dodging House questions

http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/trey-gowdy-slams-steve-bannon-for-helping-people-write-books-but-dodging-house-questions/article/2646204“This is the same person who accused two of the president’s family members of committing treasonous acts,” Gowdy said. That’s a reference to a quote Bannon gave Wolff to describe the June 2016 meeting between first son Donald Trump Jr, White House adviser Jared Kushner, ex-campaign manager Paul Manafort, and a Kremlin-linked lawyer.

“If you are going to accuse somebody of a crime for which you can be put to death, what is your evidence for that?” he continued.

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Politics

GOP’s government shutdown threat is same one-act comedy we’ve seen before

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I hope you’ve got your prepper gear ready, America, because life as we know it comes to an end Friday at midnight. At least, that’s what Trump and the GOP want you to believe when the current Continuing Resolution (CR) expires—the third in a year—causing a government shut-down.

Of course, this political theater disguised as concern for the American people is just a one-act comedy, and we’ve seen it before from these clowns in Washington. True to form, this latest performance has been scheduled to take place during an election year . . . you know, to make it seem more real.

If you only listened to the critics known as the mainstream media and Political Action Committees, you might be convinced that this apocalyptic shutdown might actually occur. Based on what we’ve seen from past performances of this play, however, such a scenario is more like make-believe and less like reality.

There have been 18 government shutdowns since 1976, and the impact has been so small that it reminds me of the proverbial tree that fell in the woods while no one was around . . . If a government shutdown occurred, and the media didn’t report it, would anyone notice?

Sadly, in the age of Trump and his Twitter account, people will notice, with or without the media.

Trump has a well-documented habit of making negotiations on big issues worse by attacking others. Still, this claim about how a government shutdown will shut down the military is hyperbole—only non-essential personnel are affected—and his mention of DACA and how the Democrats have taken a big step backwards is simply a lie.

Trump and the GOP want amnesty for DREAMers as much as the Democrats do, and they won’t let DACA get in the way of making a deal—a fact recently confirmed by Mitch McConnell.

Speaking of McConnell . . . he has surrendered the GOP’s negotiating position by taking a government shutdown off the negotiating table—a position he has held since before becoming Majority Leader. In Mickey’s world, spending money we don’t have to keep big government growing is paramount to peskier issues like fiscal responsibility and keeping the GOP’s campaign promises.

With Trump’s blessing, Paul Ryan—who has taken entitlement reform off the table to negotiate a deal with Democrats—and Mitch McConnell are working diligently to get CR #4 passed ahead of Friday’s deadline. When it passes, the GOP will have more time to negotiate their cave on DACA in addition to their cave on spending limits.

I’m going to step out on a limb here and predict that the CR is as good as done. Like I said, this is a one-act play and we’ve seen it before.

Originally posted on The Strident Conservative.

 

David Leach is the owner of The Strident Conservative. His daily radio commentary is nationally syndicated with Salem Radio Network and can be heard on stations across America.

Follow the Strident Conservative on Twitter and Facebook. Subscribe to receive podcasts of radio commentaries: iTunes | Stitcher | Tune In | RSS

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