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Guns and Crime

Is gun violence actually rising?



Is gun violence actually rising

The Los Angeles Times’ Kurtis Lee declares that it can’t really understand while accidental gunshot deaths are falling while gun violence is increasing. On its face, this seems like a reasonable question, but given the LA Times’ history of reporting on guns is about as accurate as a penalty kick with a torn ACL, we have to delve a bit deeper.

The opening sentence waves a red flag, calling for the bulls to run at the specter of well-publicized shootings in Las Vegas, Baltimore, and Sutherland Springs. These are “clearly” part of a trend to higher gun crime. As for accidental deaths, Lee claims, following the Washington Post, that one reason accidents are decreasing is that fewer homes have guns. But the Pew Research Center says that gun ownership is rising! And if we look further, ABC/Washington Post polling shows a very stable 43+% rate of homes with guns over the last 18 years.

To those who know and handle guns regularly, the large public shootings are events that speak to the evil of the perpetrators, not the instrument of destruction. But this talisman is supposed to keep us from understanding that over decades there are two trends that cannot be mistaken.

First, the overall gun homicide rate in the US is in a steady decline. Second, gun ownership in the US is steadily rising. The National Instant Check system run by the Federal Government shows a doubling of gun purchases from 2008 to 2015. Concealed carry permits have increased from 2.7 million in 1999 to over 14.5 million in 2016.

We can admit that for two years gun homicides have had an upturn. But when the Left presents a single answer for a complicated problem, we can be pretty certain that they are wrong. (Ditto for the Right!) There are multiple factors that can lead to a rise in gun deaths. Yes, Las Vegas is one. But it pales in comparison to Chicago and Baltimore. And we should consider common features there.

Those two metro areas have been under unified Democrat rule for decades. As a result, their poverty rates are notably higher than many other cities. This is known to breed crime. Next, these areas share features with a couple of other places: San Bernardino and the Pulse Night Club. They are legally “gun-free zones.” The list could be much longer, but virtually every public mass firearm murder is in a “gun-free zone.”

Just ask why grandmothers in Chicago want guns. Are they target shooters in withdrawal? No! They want to be able to protect their grandkids from the gangs that rule the streets. Yes, when seconds matter, the police are only minutes away. If they come at all. Since Ferguson, community policing has largely disappeared, so now Chicago plants a resident every eighteen hours.

We must dive just a bit deeper into this cesspool.

The Cesspool

69% of US counties have no more than one murder per year, and account for 20% of the population but only 4% of the murders. The worst 1% of counties have 19% of the population and 37% of the murders. These (red) counties are generally metropolitan, with long-term Democrat governance and highly restrictive gun laws. That is, criminals get guns, but law-abiding citizens have a very hard time defending themselves.

Finally, when we look at another site Lee uses,, we find that Lee neglects a key point we’ve already noted. Crime accounts for most of the rise in gunshot deaths. This is not something that is likely to be changed by trying to adjust the behavior of the law-abiding. And that is what the Left consistently fails to understand.

Concealed carry permit holders are six times less likely than police to misuse their weapons. But gang-bangers in un-policed cities will use their illegal guns frequently, as Chicago and Baltimore prove.

Yes, accidental deaths due to firearms are falling. That’s a good thing. But it has nothing to do with reduced gun ownership. Lawful gun owners are just as concerned with keeping their kids alive as anyone else. They may be more focused on it. That’s why they take their kids shooting and train them in the safe use of guns. We should be doing far more of this.

There has yet to be a gun law that reduced crime. By definition, criminals break the law. But private gun ownership has been proven again and again to be a force for good, with many thousands of lives saved each year. We should be shouting that from the rooftops.

Ted Noel MD is a Board Certified Anesthesiologist with 36 years of experience. He produces a video blog on current political subjects weekly at

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1 Comment

1 Comment

  1. David M. Bennett

    January 3, 2018 at 4:17 pm

    “A shoot-out is better than a massacre!”

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Culture and Religion

Video Double play: Busting the gun grabber’s musket myth.




Gun confiscation bingo

Two videos that eviscerate the Liberty Grabbers ‘One shot’ musket myth.

It is a bedrock principle (if they have any) of the Liberty grabber Left that back during the ratification of the US Constitution the only weapons in existence were flintlock musket that took 5 minute to reload. Thus there wasn’t any school violence because it would have taken too long for the perpetrator to kill anyone.

As it typical of the lore of the national socialist Left, this is a lie of the first order. A previous video celebrated the “Assault Weapon” tricentennial, which was bit of the tongue in cheek variety since there were other repeating “Military Style” weapons in existence before this time period. These will be detailed in future articles. Meanwhile we present two videos that also bust the ‘Musket Myth’, one a short presentation from the Royal Armouries on the Jover and Belton “Flintlock breech-loading superimposed military musket”

Royal Armouries
Published on Aug 30, 2017
Curator of Firearms, Jonathan Ferguson, gives us a peek at the Flintlock breech-loading superimposed military musket, by Jover and Belton (1786)

This is a very relevant piece since the inventor Joseph Belton corresponded with the Continental Congress in 1777:

May it Please your Honours,
I would just informe this Honourable Assembly, that I have discover’d an improvement, in the use of Small Armes, wherein a common small arm, may be maid to discharge eight balls one after another, in eight, five or three seconds of time, & each one to do execution five & twenty, or thirty yards, and after so discharg’d, to be loaded and fire’d with cartridge as usual.

“It was demonstrated before noted scientists and military officers (including well known scientist David Rittenhouse and General Horatio Gates)”

This destroys the mythology that the founders had no knowledge of this type of repeating firearm technology that existed already.

The second is a humours dissertation on the subject from video raconteur Steven Crowder

from a few years ago that also eviscerates this bit of Leftist mythology.

Published on Feb 10, 2015
People have been telling us for years that the 2nd amendment was written in a time of Muskets, and that it doesn’t apply to the evolved weapons of today. Is it true?

So why is this important?

Two primary reasons. One that these factual examples demonstrate that the founding fathers knew of these technological advances. Therefore, they destroy any Leftist pretences that the 2nd amendment be confined to muskets. Second that, school violence is something other than an issue of guns.

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Guns and Crime

Final pieces of the puzzle voiding the Second Amendment are ready to put in place



It’s no mystery to the majority of liberty-loving Americans that politicians of every political stripe have been working feverishly to find new ways to restrict or eliminate our constitutionally protected God-given rights. And there has been perhaps no greater effort in their politically correct but unconstitutional agenda than their attempts to void in word and/or deed our Second Amendment right to keep and bear arms.

While attempts to restrict gun ownership have existed throughout American history, the current movement got its footing from the National Firearms Act of 1934 (NFA). This law, a response to gangland crime during Prohibition, established a framework for the federal government to regulate specific types of firearms and accessories, and it imposed a tax on the manufacture and transfer of firearms defined by the Act.

Though amended by the Gun Control Act of 1968 to address a flaw that nearly voided the NFA, the law has been used to curtail, if not prohibit, transactions involving firearms identified in the 1934 law. Since 1968, the Firearms Protection Act of 1986, the Brady Handgun Violence Prevention Act of 1993, and the NICS Improvement act of 2008—which “improved” background checks required under the Brady Law—have also been added to the NFA.

As you can see in this very brief timeline, the old “slippery slope” adage is true. And in the aftermath of recent shooting events at public schools, the final pieces of the puzzle to void the Second Amendment are ready to put in place.

For example, the omnibus spending bill passed by the GOP-controlled Congress and signed into law by Donald Trump in March included the Fix NICS Act, a bill introduced by Republican Sen. John Cornyn. This so-called “improvement” to NICS gave the government power to deny gun rights to individuals for something as minor as a traffic ticket, and it laid the groundwork for the establishment of a FBI database of all gun owners.

With Fix NICS in the books, and with Republicans and Democrats in one accord on gun control, Washington is ready to take the next logical step toward voiding the Second Amendment—a Nazi Germany-style gun registry. If successfully made into law, these proposals will give the federal government complete control over every gun and gun owner in America, thus giving our Big Brother overlords the power they need to eliminate private gun ownership entirely.

Senator Bill Nelson (D-FL) has introduced the Crime Gun Tracing Modernization Act, a bill that will require the federal government to establish a “searchable, computerized database” of all records pertaining to the sale, importation, production, or shipment of firearms. Though he hasn’t advocated a database system “yet”, Nelson’s GOP opponent, Gov. Rick Scott is equally as dangerous following his strong anti-gun position since the Parkland, FL high school shooting.

In the House of Representatives, Democrats have introduced the Blair Holt Firearm Licensing and Record of Sale Act. If passed, it would prohibit gun ownership without a license and would require a valid firearms license to transfer and receive a gun. The bill would also require the US attorney general to maintain a “federal record of sale” system to track every gun purchase made in America.

From laws denying gun rights to adults under 21 years of age to the growing acceptance—even in Washington—of using Extreme Risk Protection Orders (ERPO) to seize firearms from individuals who haven’t broken any laws, many Americans have already lost their Second Amendment rights.

If anti-gun politicians in Washington have their way—and with no Constitutional conservative coalition to stop them, they might—all of America will soon know the reality of living in a country without a Second Amendment . . . and without liberty.

Originally posted on The Strident Conservative.


David Leach is the owner of The Strident Conservative. His daily radio commentary is distributed by the Salem Radio Network and is heard on stations across America.

Follow the Strident Conservative on Twitter and FacebookSubscribe to receive podcasts of radio commentaries: iTunes | Stitcher | Tune In | RSSSubscribe to receive podcasts of radio commentaries: iTunes | Stitcher | Tune In | RSS

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Guns and Crime

Gov. Andrew Cuomo takes ERPO laws up a notch; will use teachers to seize guns



The anti-Second Amendment hysteria by left-wing extremists and the media—but I repeat myself—has reached a fever pitch following recent incidents of gun violence at public schools as it breathes new life into a punch list of Constitutionally questionable laws designed to completely disarm America.

One such law gaining momentum is the Extreme Risk Protection Order (ERPO). By taking one part “big government knows best” and adding a heaping cup of “for the children” with just a dash of “mental health crisis” for seasoning, progressives in both parties have created the perfect recipe to satisfy their appetite for killing the Second Amendment and denying us our God-given right to life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness.

An ERPO empowers family members and the police to seize guns from anyone they feel poses a danger to themselves or others simply by obtaining a judge’s order—an order that doesn’t require testimony from the “accused” which is a violation of our Constitutional rights. No warrant. No charges. No arrests.

After the Parkland, FL high school shooting earlier this year, Gov. Rick Scott—currently the GOP candidate for US Senate—joined forces with Republicans who had already joined forces with Democrats to pass a host of anti-gun laws, including ERPOs. In the months that followed, GOP governors in Vermont and Maryland also passed ERPO laws.

Earlier this year I wrote in an article about how mental illness is being used to deny gun rights, and I shared a story about an ERPO being used by police in Seattle, WA to forcefully confiscate the guns of a man because his neighbors didn’t like that he “stared” at them while legally wearing a holstered firearm.

Besides the fact that ERPOs are becoming one of the greatest threats to our Constitutional rights, they are also serving as the grease for the slippery slope we are taking toward tyranny, as we see in the recent proposal by NY Gov. Andrew Cuomo.

Cuomo plans to introduce a proposal to the state legislature for a law that will allow teachers to petition a judge to remove guns from the homes of “troubled students.” Under his expansion plan for ERPO, teachers and school administrators would be granted legal standing to petition a court to remove firearms from the homes of students considered a threat to themselves or others. The teacher’s union loves this idea.

If it becomes law, the next time a child acts up in a NY school SWAT teams could be knocking down the door where they live to disarm the parents. And with the way ERPO laws are gaining acceptance—including in Washington DC—it could happen where you live too.

Originally posted on The Strident Conservative.


David Leach is the owner of The Strident Conservative. His daily radio commentary is distributed by the Salem Radio Network and is heard on stations across America.

Follow the Strident Conservative on Twitter and Facebook. Subscribe to receive podcasts of radio commentaries: iTunes | Stitcher | Tune In | RSS

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