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Hezbollah, Iran, and Saudi Arabia: The Middle East triangle that could lead to full regional (or world) war

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Hezbollah Iran and Saudi Arabia The Middle East triangle that could lead to full regional or world w

The Middle East rarely gets a break from conflict. In recent decades, it seems there is nothing but strife in the region. As one armed conflict is suppressed, another flares up. The latest potential conflict is between Saudi Arabia and Hezbollah, Iran’s proxy in Lebanon. This one has all the ingredients necessary to lead to the biggest war the region has seen in decades.

It could even lead to war for the rest of the world.

Background

Late last week, Lebanon’s Prime Minister Saad Hariri shocked the world when he resigned, citing a “plot to target his life.” The announcement was made from Saudi Arabia where Hariri accused Hezbollah of being a militant arm beholden to Iran.

Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri steps down in shock move

http://www.dw.com/en/lebanese-prime-minister-saad-hariri-steps-down-in-shock-move/a-41235250Hariri announced his resignation from Saudi Arabia, saying he sensed a “plot to target his life” as he accused Iran and its Lebanese Shiite ally Hezbollah of taking control of the country and destablizing the region.

“Iran has a grip on the fate of the region’s countries… Hezbollah is Iran’s arm not just in Lebanon but in other Arab countries too,” Hariri said. “Iran’s arms in the region will be cut off. The evil that Iran spreads in the region will backfire on it.”

On Tuesday, the Saudis accused Iran of “direct aggression” in the attack on Riyadh airport. They said Hezbollah and the Lebanese administration would now be “dealt with as a government declaring war on Saudi Arabia.”

World War 3 alert: Saudi Arabia says Lebanon has declared WAR

http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/876337/World-War-3-Saudi-Arabia-Lebanon-Hezbollah-YemenHe claimed Hezbollah’s actions “were considered acts of a declaration of war against Saudi Arabia by Lebanon and by the Lebanese Party of the Devil”.

Al-Sabhan said the message had also been delivered to Lebanese prime minister Saas al-Hariri, a Saudi ally.

Today, Hassan Nasrallah, leader of Lebanon’s Hezbollah, accused Saudi Arabia of holding Hariri against his will, inciting Israel against Lebanon, and declaring war on the nation.

Saudis ‘declared war on Lebanon’ – Hezbollah leader

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-41946310Mr Hariri said in a TV broadcast from Riyadh on Saturday he was stepping down because of an unspecified threat to his life. He also attacked Hezbollah and Iran.

However, Lebanese President Michel Aoun and other senior politicians have demanded his return, amid suspicions that he is being held by the Saudis under house arrest and forced to do their bidding.

Mr Aoun has not accepted Mr Hariri’s resignation.

What this means

This is more than just another potential conflict for Saudi Arabia. Ties between Hezbollah and Iran would add to the potential for the first armed conflict between Saudi Arabia and Iran. They represent two of the three largest and most advanced military forces in the region with Israel’s being the third.

Saudi Arabia already believes Iran is the source of weapons for Yemen and Qatar, aiding them in their conflicts with the Saudis. Hezbollah believes the Saudis are going to attack by paying their “allies” in Israel to do it for them. Israel is never far from conflict with Hezbollah or Iran.

If Saudi Arabia decides it’s had enough with Iran’s meddling, it may choose to preemptively strike their Lebanese proxies. If Iran wants to provoke the Saudis without direct involvement (a path they’ve demonstrated they prefer), they could instruct Hezbollah to attack the Saudis through proxies in Yemen and Qatar.

There are other scenarios in play, including an unlikely direct attack from Iran or giving Lebanon direct access to Saudi Arabia thorough Syira down to Iraq. Nobody can predict exactly how this will play out. All we know is that every action, every moment brings us closer to war.

Escalation

The longstanding conflict between Shiites and Sunnis may be due for for a massive regional war. Iran and Saudi Arabia are the champions of each sect. The difference is that there are enough potentially militant Shiites in Saudi Arabia – a population estimated around 20 million – that could be brought into the mix by Iran and Hezbollah.

Saudi Arabia and other Arab nations have already called for their citizens to leave Lebanon. We are one or two triggers away from war. In fact, there may already be plans in place to escalate at any moment.

The United States has interests in Saudi Arabia, Israel, and troops in various countries in or near the region. Russia is backing Iran and Syria. It’s not too hard to see the potential of bringing the rest of the world into a regional conflict if it does erupt into war.

Final Thoughts

It’s time to stop pretending like this is just another problem in a region known for constant problems. This is the closest we’ve been to full-blown war involving multiple nations in the region since 1967. Since none of the three nations have any intentions of backing down, it may no longer be a question of if war will break out. We should be asking, “when?”

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Foreign Affairs

Tensions mounting in Syria, Turkey terrorizing Kurds

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Just because the Syrian Civil War has been won, does not mean that it’s over. The Liberation of Aleppo paired with the Fall of the Islamic State is enough grounds for the Assad regime to clinch victory. While ISIS still troubles the desert, HTS, the latest rebranding of Al-Qaeda holds a dwindling amount of territory in Syria’s northeast. Without a overly significant ISIS presence, the Syrian Arab Army and its allies have focused their attention on HTS territory as well as terrorist held territory in the suburbs of Damascus. HTS, while not officially listed as a foreign terror organization, is the evolved version of the al-Nursa Front which is. This organization may have a more active ally in Turkey. After several months of deescalating, tensions are mounting in Syria.

Turkey has already seized territory in Syria as apart of Operation Euphrates Shield using the unofficial terror organization, the FSA (Free Syrian Army), as a front for doing so. Turkey has also been undergoing operations in North Idlib and West Aleppo, territory held by the HTS. Now Turkey has commenced Operation Olive Branch, a misleading name to put it bluntly. The primary target of Operation Olive Branch is the YPG. The YPG is a Kurdish paramilitary that was a large contributor to dismantling the Islamic State’s presence in the country. They are the primary forces in control of the Afrin region in Syria. On January 19th, Turkey launched Operation Olive branch after mounting forces along the region’s border. What began as bombings and shelling escalated into mini land grabs along Afrin’s border. Turkey has also upped its propaganda game.

If this seems confusing allow this excerpt from TRTWorld to clear things up.

TRTWorld: The strategy behind Operation Olive Branch

Afrin, in northwest Syria bordering Turkey, used to be a city with a population of 80,000. Taking advantage of the chaos caused by the civil war in Syria, the YPG took control of it in 2012. During the years of civil war, since there are no clashes in Afrin, its population increased up to 300,000. And finally, after the evacuation of Aleppo in December 2016, people fled to Afrin, increasing the population to around 750,000. Around 60 percent is Arabs, five percent on the Turkish border in the northwest of the city is Turkmen, and the rest are Kurds. Hundreds of its original residents, who could flee the YPG after 2012, are in Turkey.

Afrin is located between two strategic Turkish-backed Free Syrian Army (FSA)-held areas: Azaz and Idlib. The two FSA commanders who talked to TRT World, tell of the geographical importance of Afrin in these words: We need to connect two opposition areas to support each other. But using the road in Turkey along the border from Kilis to Reyhanlı takes five hours. If we drive directly from Azaz to Idlib through Tel Rifat, it would only take less than two hours.

That makes the Tel Rifat front of upmost importance to the operation.

Turkey is trying to win support for its jihadists put shifting the majority Arabs in the Afrin region against the Kurdish forces in control of the region. They are also trying to connect to of their FSA operations in two provinces. Since this operation has been launched, there are two losers: the SAA and the YPG. The SAA is having its territorial integrity violated by the uninvited Turkish forces and the YPG, and by extension Kurds, are the primary target and are at a apparent military disadvantage of the NATO power.

TSK Engaging SAA

Turkish forces have deployed a convoy featuring armored vehicles into Syria to “facilitate a deescalation zone” but is also being escorted by HTS terrorists forces.

Along the way, Russian and Syrian forces have targeted the convoy’s path. Tensions escalated to direct shelling between SAA and TSK. Meanwhile Russia is trying to balance its relationship with the Turkish regime. As of now the SAA and the Turkish controlled area north of Aleppo have held a peaceful border as Turkey just mainly wants to target Kurds. Russia and Syria have deescalated Turkish targeting to the east by taking Kurdish militias under their wing. Turkey has mostly been non-confrontational with pro-Assad forces, but this engagement could destabilize the other Turkish controlled regions in Syria.

US Response

The US has held a very weak response to Turkey’s newest rounds of aggression. President Trump and Ergodan has a phone call on the 24th over the Operation, but little has been done by Americans to combat the latest threat to stability. In fact, YPG fighters are concerned about their continued US support. Turkey could eventually pose a threat to US forces in the country. The US has forces in the Manbij region of Syria which is east of Turkish zone captured during Euphrates Shield. After Turkey is done attacking Kurds in Afrin, they could move east towards Iraq into Manbij. The forces their have stated their right to self defense against any incoming attack which makes the possibility of an intra-NATO skirmish all that more likely.

Takeaway

Kurds have reason to worry as Turkey has a brutal history of exterminating ethnicities they don’t like and a continued success at getting others not to address their atrocities. The Turkish regime is becoming increasingly Islamic and totalitarian. Turkey’s tactics appear to be performing land grabs extending to Iraq, but the implications of its Operation on the Syrian Civil War are more clouded. So whether this is muscle flexing against a Shia power or a more nefarious jihadist mission has yet to be determined. This could destabilize the entire country that has already spent several years in war and was just seeing the light at the end. Before this, the HTS was doomed to lose, paving the way for more formal peace talks. But now they have some new life with Operation Olive Branch.

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Military

Kevin Swanson: Federal judiciary is rotten to the core and runs our military

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Kevin Swanson Federal judiciary is rotten to the core and runs our military

Our military has been the last bastion of conservatives, while our judiciary has been the progressive arm for almost half a century. While President Trump has tried to prevent transgenders from serving our military, the progressive courts of our day and age overruled our President. Our courts are in rebellion against the law of God and determined to go their own way and prove God wrong.

Kevin Swanson does not mention pushing Convention of States (Article V) but I shall. The Conservatives need to put the courts in check. Otherwise, these progressives will just keep trying to prove they are better than God. Most of our justices come from the elite colleges (especially Harvard) that have abandoned a Judeo-Christian worldview in favor of a progressive one. Its been going on for a long time. Now, these fools who say they are so wise are now one step closer to our destruction of a nation if not the world.

All for what, public expression of sin? One thing progressives want is to be able to sin when it comes to sexual morals, and transgenderism does indeed tie into sexual sin. S-E-X just feels too good…and it does.

Swanson points out Deuteronomy 22:5, Ephesians 4:18-19 and Romans 1:26-28 and proving God’s Word correctly to the continued social ills of our nation, and even proves radio talker Michael Savage (not mentioned by Swanson) that “Liberalism is a Mental Disorder.”

There are certain mentally unstable people that should have been kept locked in mental hospitals. But, these people have been allowed to run free and way too many of them have influenced our public policy. When people react with anger and rage against the law of God, it is only proving God right once again. Their hearts and mind are hardened and so hardened that Satan has them where he wants them. Just waiting for his POD from their awaiting souls. Only God Almighty can take certain POD’s away from this “entitled” fallen angel.

Bradley/Chelsea Manning has gotten away with so much and helped with the destruction of a nation. Manning needs the Gospel of Jesus Christ, and even if that repulses him/her, we still have to let Manning know. Only the devil would tell you that his Father hates him and the rest of us with passion. Nope, just hates sin with a passion, and that needs to be punished. You just don’t have to go to Hell for that sin.

Reference

Military Sex Surgeries and Hormone Treatments | Generations

https://www.generations.org/programs/837The United States Military will now be busy taking care of their sex surgeries and hormone treatments for their male recruits who want to look like women, and vice versa. The military now pretty much represents the dry rot of the nation, as the foundations continue to erode. We take a look at the military’s prototype transgender: Bradley Manning – treasonous, transgendered, mentally unstable, suicidal. . . and pardoned by President Obama. The condition of the nation is perfectly realized in such examples. As Christians, what shall we do? Do we want to support government funding for transgender operations and suicide for guys like Manning? We explain the insanity of a nation with verses like Eph. 4:18,19 and Rom. 1:26-28.

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Foreign Affairs

Trump and Reagan joking about starting a war

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Trump makes final pitch for Roy Moore in Tweet

Let us make one thing clear. America usually has never been the ones to start an attack, although the Iraq war after 9/11 might have been the sole exception. However, when we are attacked we don’t roll over and ask for “another one.” We fight back.

When Reagan said; “I’m pleased to tell you today that I’ve signed legislation that will outlaw Russia forever. We begin bombing in five minutes;” it was meant to be taken as a joke. The left can dish it out, but they can’t take it in. The media used the term ‘Star Wars,’ not Ronald Reagan himself.

Trump made it clear to North Korean’s Kim Jong Un to not try to blow the United States of America sky high without paying the consequences to what could happen to his hell hole that he rules over. “North Korean Leader Kim Jong Un just stated that the ‘Nuclear Button is on his desk at all times.’ Will someone from his depleted and food starved regime please inform him that I too have a Nuclear Button, but it is a much bigger & more powerful one than his, and my Button works!”

Don’t go their ‘Rocket Man,’ because we shall not roll over and play dead like many progressives want us to do regarding their idols. Most of these idols are tyrants that they wish they could be, and that includes ‘Fat Boy” as Mark Levin likes to call Kim Jong Un. Meanwhile, the left still pushes the welfare state, because wealth redistribution and the promise to “take care of you” is their only way to buy votes and gain power.

P.S. if you progressives are so concerned about despicable people in the White House, how about JFK (and his sexual orgies), Bill Clinton (sex in the Oval Office itself), and yes Barack Obama (for being the Marxist punk that he is). For all of Trump’s shortcomings, it seems that Trump is keeping the White House clean while he is there if you know what I mean.

Reference

Levin: Trump was channeling Reagan with ‘nuclear button’ tweet

https://www.conservativereview.com/articles/levin-trump-channeling-reagan-nuclear-button-tweet/The Left’s hysterical response to President Trump’s now-infamous “nuclear button” tweet aimed at North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un is just that: Hysterical. So said LevinTV host Mark Levin on his national radio program Wednesday night.

At the beginning of the segment, Levin compared Trump’s tweet to a quip from President Ronald Reagan’s 1984 re-election campaign where the Gipper joked, “I’m pleased to tell you today that I’ve signed legislation that will outlaw Russia forever. We begin bombing in five minutes.”

WTF MSM!? #NuclearButtonGate has the media in a tizzy

https://www.conservativereview.com/articles/wtf-msm-nuclearbuttongate-media-tizzy/Is there a button? … Yesterday, in response to North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un’s declaration that he has a button to launch nukes, Donald Trump tweeted in response:

The Trump Derangement Syndrome-fueled responses were expected. But this morning a new narrative began to emerge: Trump’s tweet was factually incorrect. You see, there isn’t a button to launch U.S. nuclear weapons. It is more of a process. It began with a “fact-check” by the Associated Press, and now others like CNN’s Chris Cillizza are piling on. These folks know exactly what Trump meant, and calling it a nuclear button is a long-standing literary device. Pedantic attacks like this show just how biased and petty the media is.

Rush Limbaugh on Trump NKorea Tweets: He’s ‘Brilliant’

https://www.newsmax.com/politics/donald-trump-north-korea-kim-jong-un-nuclear-button/2018/01/04/id/835236/Radio host Rush Limbaugh on Thursday mocked the outcry from critics of President Donald Trump after he tweeted about having a bigger nuclear button than North Korea leader Kim Jung Un.

“They act like the greatest insult to human dignity and the presidential regime that has ever happened,” Limbaugh chided during his daily radio program, adding the remark that it “wouldn’t cause a ripple in your average Twitter sewer.”

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