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What happens when an old space station falls uncontrollably from orbit and crashes at an unknown time and location? We’re going to find out within the next six months as Tiangong-1, China’s first space lab, is expected to hit sometime between now and next April.
After long speculation, China finally admitted to the United Nations last year that they’d lost control of their “Heavenly Palace” and it would soon come crashing down to earth. Most of it is expected to burn up during reentry into the earth’s atmosphere, Harvard astrophysicist Jonathan McDowell says debris weighing over 200 lbs. could make it to the surface.
“You really can’t steer these things,” McDowell said in 2016. “Even a couple of days before it re-enters we probably won’t know better than six or seven hours, plus or minus, when it’s going to come down. Not knowing when it’s going to come down translates as not knowing where it’s going to come down.”
This won’t be the first time a huge space station came back to earth in an an uncontrolled reentry, according the The Guardian:
Tiangong-1: Chinese space station will crash to Earth within months | Science | The Guardian
In 1991 the Soviet Union’s 20-tonne Salyut 7 space station crashed to Earth while still docked to another 20-tonne spacecraft called Cosmos 1686. They broke up over Argentina, scattering debris over the town of Capitán Bermúdez.
Nasa’s enormous 77-tonne Skylab space station came hurtling to Earth in an almost completely uncontrolled descent in 1979, with some large pieces landing outside Perth in Western Australia.
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