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The Alabama primary runoff has huge national implications

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Roy Moore Alabama Senate

In most cases, the results of a primary runoff election for a Senate seat isn’t really national news. In Alabama, the battle between Roy Moore and Luther Strange is the very distinct exception. It will determine the direction of the GOP and the path forward for the Federalist Party.

Daniel Horowitz at Conservative Review beat me to this story by a week:


Moore v. Strange: The most important Senate race in a generation

https://www.conservativereview.com/articles/moore-v-strange-the-most-important-senate-race-in-a-generationIt’s not an exaggeration to suggest that the Alabama Senate primary is the most important Senate election of our generation. That is because this is not just about filling one conservative Senate seat; this is about the future of the Republican Party and perhaps the opening shot that will create momentum for a new political party in America — one that will challenge the uniparty of Republicrats and Democans.


What makes this race so interesting is that the players on both sides are big. President Trump and Senate Majority Leader McConnell have thrown their weight behind Luther Strange, the semi-incumbent (he was appointed by the governor when Jeff Sessions left for the Justice Department). Roy Moore has the backing of many of Trump’s allies including Ben Carson, Sarah Palin, and Steve Bannon.

Strange is the ultimate Establishment swamp creature. Moore is the antithesis of the Establishment.

Strange raised much more money and has the backing of major super PACs. Moore’s campaign has been as grassroots as it gets.

If Moore pulls off the win, it will change the way the GOP (and possibly the Democrats) view race dynamics. On paper, this should be a slam dunk for Strange. He has the support of two of the three most powerful men in the party and has the money to back him up. He’s sort of an incumbent. He’s the moderate with views that align with the centrist direction the GOP has been heading for a long time.

By beating the odds, Moore’s victory will send a few messages. First, it’s a clear indicator that the anti-Establishment sentiment is alive and well even as the President himself embraces the swamp. Second, it tells the GOP they can’t buy elections as easily as they have in the past. Lastly, it will call into question the ability of the President to deliver wins for the GOP in the midterm elections.

On that last point, it’s important to note that the President started hedging his bets last Friday. In an awkward campaign rally for Strange, Trump said he may have made a mistake by backing him. The White House will try to say that Trump’s support for Strange was lukewarm. It wasn’t, at least not before Friday. He’s been a very vocal supporter of Strange since before the original primary and has not wavered until last Friday when it appeared his endorsement wasn’t going to yield a victory. Remember that when you hear them say the President has always supported both men. He hasn’t. He put his full weight behind Strange and polls showed that it wasn’t working. A Moore victory will have the best White House spindoctors working overtime to make us believe the President wasn’t on the losing side.

This race is a win-win for the Federalist Party. If Moore wins, it will show that big money and Establishment power can be overcome by good ol’ grassroots efforts and proper messaging. If he loses, it will show the GOP is irreparably busted. Either way, this race sets the stage for big things ahead for the party.

America will (hopefully) be keeping a close eye on this runoff. It’s the quintessential Establishment vs. anti-Establishment race with big names pushing both sides. How the GOP moves forward with their midterm campaigns will be determined by the results.

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Federalists

The most important thing George H. W. Bush said is a lesson for today

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The most important thing George H. W. Bush said is a lesson for today

All Presidents have their share of great quotes. Speech writers are paid to spin words in a way that is catchy, intellectual, and understandable. President George H. W. Bush said many great things in his life, but none were as important for today as his perspective on government.

The only addition I would make is that true governance under the Constitution starts at the individual level. He may not have been the biggest proponent of limited-government federalism the way his predecessor was, but that doesn’t change the importance of his message.

“The heart of our government is not here in Washington, it’s in every county office, every town, every city across this land. Wherever the people of America are, that’s where the heart of our government is.”

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Federalists

What Stacey Abrams gets right about moving forward from the Georgia election

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What Stacey Abrams gets right about moving forward from the Georgia election

Democrat Stacey Abrams possesses some pretty radical political ideologies. I completely disagree with her far-leftist rhetoric or the agenda she hoped to bring to Georgia as governor. Republican Brian Kemp is the next governor, which even Abrams admits.

But she refuses to concede that she actually lose the election. She’s clear that Kemp is the governor-elect, but she falls just short of saying that his victory is illegitimate.

That’s all political theater. Here’s what she gets right. Georgia and many states need to clean up their election practices. Laws should be passed. Other laws should be removed. Ballot access for American citizens must be protected and the process must be made as easy as possible without jeopardizing accuracy or opening the doors to fraud.

Most importantly, this must be done through a combination of the legal system and the state legislature. At no point should she or anyone else try to turn this into a federal issue.

People on both sides of the political aisle seem to be leaning towards fixing election problems at the national level. This would be a huge mistake. The states must clean their own houses. The residents of the states must be the catalyst. Keep DC out of it.

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Federalists

Be careful about calling for more national election laws

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Be careful about calling for more national election laws

We’re starting to hear rumblings, mostly from Republicans, calling for national standardization of elections. It’s understandable that people are frustrated by what’s happening in Florida. Arizona and Georgia also have some questionable happenings. But it’s imperative as conservatives that we allow the states to fix the problems no matter how bad they may seem.

The biggest reason: the more the federal government gets involved in just about anything, the easier it will be for voter fraud, counting mishaps, and election official corruption to occur. Take, for example, calls ringing out again for national voter ID. Would it make it harder for non-citizens to vote? Perhaps. But it also runs the risk of catastrophic failure when we centralize and/or digitize the voting system itself. Not only will all of our eggs be in one basket that becomes a single point of failure, but it also slows the process of adjusting against threats. Sophisticated vote manipulators in or out of the country would love nothing more than a federalized voting system.

Taking away the states’ responsibility to administer their voting protocols takes away their accountability as well. Calls for centralization of nearly every other component of administration, from education to the environment to healthcare, has resulted in horrific results that greatly overshadowed the localized problems they were intended to fix.

Some states are having major problems with elections. These states must fix their problems. When the federal government gets involved in sweeping changes that force solutions for isolated cases on the rest of the country, more problems arise. The benefits are greatly outweighed by the detriments.

Broward County Election Supervisor Brenda Snipes is incompetent, corrupt, or both. She needs to be replaced and the voting process in Florida needs to be fixed. Let Broward County and Florida replace her and fix their voting process. It may be hard to have faith in the county and state, but do we really have more faith in Washington DC? Should we be calling for more centralized voting laws and protocols because of a few persons’ gross negligence?

No.

It’s frustrating when local officials can affect national elections, but that’s why people can vote them out and force reforms. Where it’s broken, let those states fix it. Bringing in a DC solution will give us DC results, and that’s almost never a good thing.

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